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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

Stal Mielec

T T T S T

0–2

Full-time

Lech Poznan

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,68 xG 0,85

44% Possession 56%

11 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stal Mielec 16. · Lech Poznan 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Piast Gliwice	7	4	2	1	+3	+0.6	14
2	Lech Poznan	6	4	1	1	+6	+1.2	13
3	Cracovia	6	4	1	1	+4	-2.2	13
4	Legia	6	3	2	1	+5	+2.6	11
5	Widzew Lodz	6	3	2	1	+2	-1.6	11
6	Rakow	7	3	2	2	+2	+3.7	11
7	Pogon Szczecin	6	3	1	2	+3	+3.0	10
8	Jagiellonia	5	3	0	2	+1	+0.0	9
9	GKS Katowice	6	2	2	2	+1	-3.0	8
10	Gornik Zabrze	6	2	2	2	-1	-1.3	8
11	Puszcza	6	1	3	2	+0	+1.4	6
12	Motor Lublin	5	1	3	1	+0	+0.8	6
13	Zaglebie	6	1	2	3	-3	+0.4	5
14	Korona Kielce	6	1	2	3	-5	-4.8	5
15	Slask Wroclaw	5	0	4	1	-2	+2.9	4
16	Stal Mielec	6	1	1	4	-3	+0.3	4
17	Radomiak Radom	5	1	0	4	-5	-0.8	3
18	Lechia Gdansk	6	0	2	4	-8	-3.4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	3	3	0	0	+6	+1.6	9
2	Pogon Szczecin	3	3	0	0	+6	+5.2	9
3	Piast Gliwice	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.7	7
4	Widzew Lodz	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.2	7
5	Legia	3	2	0	1	+4	+4.3	6
6	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.9	6
7	Puszcza	3	1	2	0	+3	+2.1	5
8	Stal Mielec	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.4	4
9	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.6	4
10	GKS Katowice	4	1	1	2	+0	-1.7	4
11	Zaglebie	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.0	4
12	Cracovia	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.7	4
13	Slask Wroclaw	3	0	3	0	+0	+2.0	3
14	Korona Kielce	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.6	3
15	Motor Lublin	3	0	2	1	-2	+0.1	2
16	Rakow	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.8	1
17	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.9	1
18	Radomiak Radom	2	0	0	2	-2	+2.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	4	3	1	0	+4	+2.9	10
2	Cracovia	3	3	0	0	+5	-0.4	9
3	Piast Gliwice	4	2	1	1	+0	+1.4	7
4	Legia	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.7	5
5	Motor Lublin	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.7	4
6	GKS Katowice	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.3	4
7	Widzew Lodz	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.4	4
8	Lech Poznan	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.4	4
9	Gornik Zabrze	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.9	4
10	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.9	3
11	Radomiak Radom	3	1	0	2	-3	-3.2	3
12	Korona Kielce	3	0	2	1	-3	-4.2	2
13	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.0	1
14	Pogon Szczecin	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.1	1
15	Zaglebie	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.6	1
16	Puszcza	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.7	1
17	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	1	2	-5	-1.5	1
18	Stal Mielec	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.