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Europa League
Referee: R Obrenović
Jagiellonia
S S T T T
1–4
Full-time
Ajax
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
1,8
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Jagiellonia Ajax
1–0 Adrián Diéguez ⚽
5′
9′
⚽ C. Akpom 1–1
S. Berghuis
27′
⚽ M. Godts 1–2
D. Rensch
Half-time 1–2
A. Nguiamba 🔁
↦ João Moutinho
46′
48′
🟨 Kenneth Taylor
54′
🟨 Jorrel Hato
61′
⚽ C. Akpom 1–3
Afimico Pululu 🔁
↦ L. Diaby-Fadiga
62′
64′
🔁 B. Traoré
↦ Carlos Forbs
64′
🔁 B. van den Boomen
↦ K. Taylor
Adrián Diéguez 🟨
68′
69′
⚽ C. Akpom 1–4
J. Haliti 🔁
↦ Adrián Diéguez
70′
T. Romanczuk 🔁
↦ Nené
70′
K. Hansen 🔁
↦ Miki Villar
71′
73′
🔁 B. Brobbey
↦ C. Akpom
73′
🔁 A. Gaaei
↦ J. Hato
79′
❌ Mika Godts
penalty missed
85′
🔁 S. Bergwijn
↦ M. Godts
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

4-4-1-1
50 S. Abramowicz G
16 M. Sáček D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
17 Adrián Diéguez D
44 João Moutinho D
20 Miki Villar F
8 Nené M
14 J. Kubicki M
21 D. Churlinov F
11 Jesús Imaz M
9 L. Diaby-Fadiga F
Bench (12)
39 A. Nguiamba
10 Afimico Pululu
4 J. Haliti
6 T. Romanczuk
99 K. Hansen
29 M. Listkowski
19 P. Olszewski
1 M. Stryjek
3 D. Stojinović
82 Tomás Silva
71 S. Stypulkowski
80 O. Pietuszewski

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Ajax

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
2 D. Rensch D
37 J. Šutalo D
15 Y. Baas D
4 J. Hato D
23 S. Berghuis M
6 J. Henderson M
8 K. Taylor M
11 Carlos Forbs F
10 C. Akpom F
39 M. Godts F
Bench (12)
20 B. Traoré
21 B. van den Boomen
9 B. Brobbey
3 A. Gaaei
7 S. Bergwijn
26 D. Rugani
36 D. Janse
40 D. Ramaj
31 J. Mokio
29 C. Rasmussen
12 J. Gorter
16 S. Mannsverk

Coach: F. Farioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Obrenović · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.