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Europa League
Referee: E Jorgji
Sp Lisbon
S S U S S
2–1
Full-time
Rakow
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,69 xG 0,44
70% Possession 30%
19 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Oct -23 Rakow – Sp Lisbon 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Jorgji · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.