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Ekstraklasa
Referee: S Marciniak
Jagiellonia
S T S U S
2–0
Full-time
Legia
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
2,2
2,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 69%
63%
75%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 76%
88%
63%
Both score Ø 69%
75%
63%
Average goals
3,6
3,1
Scored
2,1
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,51 xG 0,73
41% Possession 59%
4 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Jagiellonia 5. · Legia 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Slask Wroclaw 10 7 1 2 +8 +1.1 22
2 Legia 8 6 2 0 +11 +0.7 20
3 Rakow 9 6 1 2 +9 +5.7 19
4 Lech Poznan 9 5 2 2 +2 -0.9 17
5 Jagiellonia 8 5 1 2 +5 +3.8 16
6 Zaglebie 9 5 1 3 +0 +1.0 16
7 Pogon Szczecin 10 5 0 5 +6 +6.0 15
8 Cracovia 9 3 4 2 -2 +0.2 13
9 Stal Mielec 10 3 3 4 +1 -3.3 12
10 Piast Gliwice 10 2 6 2 +0 +9.4 12
11 Widzew Lodz 10 3 2 5 -3 -4.0 11
12 Radomiak Radom 10 3 2 5 -4 -0.2 11
13 Warta Poznan 10 2 3 5 -2 +0.9 9
14 Korona Kielce 9 2 3 4 -2 -3.5 9
15 Gornik Zabrze 9 2 3 4 -6 -7.1 9
16 Puszcza 10 2 3 5 -7 -6.6 9
17 Ruch Chorzow 10 1 4 5 -6 -3.1 7
18 LKS Lodz 10 2 1 7 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Jagiellonia Legia
1–0 José Naranjo
Jesús Imaz
13′
2–0 Jesús Imaz
D. Marczuk
29′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Rosołek
↦ T. Pekhart
50′
🟨 Marco Burch
Afimico Pululu ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
55′
Zlatan Alomerović 🟨
62′
62′
🔁 B. Slisz
↦ J. Elitim
62′
🔁 Josué
↦ E. Muçi
62′
🔁 Gil Dias
↦ P. Kun
K. Hansen 🔁
↦ José Naranjo
65′
J. Kubicki 🔁
↦ Nené
65′
71′
🔁 B. Kramer
↦ M. Baku
M. Skrzypczak 🔁
↦ D. Marczuk
74′
W. Łaski 🔁
↦ Afimico Pululu
75′
T. Kupisz 🔁
↦ Jesús Imaz
84′
87′
🟨 Marco Burch
87′
🟥 Marco Burch
Wojciech Łaski 🟨
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Alomerović G
16 M. Sáček D
32 M. Matysik D
17 Adrián Diéguez D
27 B. Wdowik D
6 T. Romanczuk M
8 Nené M
7 D. Marczuk M
11 Jesús Imaz M
28 José Naranjo M
10 Afimico Pululu F
Bench (9)
99 K. Hansen
14 J. Kubicki
72 M. Skrzypczak
77 W. Łaski
18 T. Kupisz
50 S. Abramowicz
39 A. Nguiamba
5 B. Nastić
19 P. Olszewski

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Legia

3-4-3
1 K. Tobiasz G
4 M. Burch D
3 S. Kapuadi D
12 R. Pankov D
32 M. Baku M
21 J. Çelhaka M
22 J. Elitim M
33 P. Kun M
28 Marc Gual F
7 T. Pekhart F
20 E. Muçi F
Bench (9)
39 M. Rosołek
99 B. Slisz
27 Josué
17 Gil Dias
9 B. Kramer
30 D. Hładun
86 I. Strzałek
14 I. Kharatin
5 Yuri Ribeiro

Coach: K. Runjaić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Marciniak · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.