Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Jagiellonia
Legia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | +14 | 35 |
| 2 |
Legia
|
16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 32 |
| 3 |
Rakow
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | +8 | 28 |
| 4 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +4 | 25 |
| 5 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +3 | 24 |
| 6 |
Zaglebie
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | +1 | 23 |
| 7 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | +0 | 23 |
| 8 |
Jagiellonia
|
16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 |
Wisla Plock
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | +0 | 22 |
| 10 |
Cracovia
|
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | -1 | 22 |
| 11 |
Piast Gliwice
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | +2 | 21 |
| 12 |
Lech Poznan
|
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | +0 | 19 |
| 13 |
Wisla
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |
Warta Poznan
|
16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |
Podbeskidzie
|
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -23 | 16 |
| 16 |
Stal Mielec
|
15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -11 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Wisla
Jagiellonia
Lechia Gdansk
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
Rakow
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
Warta Poznan
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.