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Conference League
Referee: E Manouchos
Legia
S U U S U
3–2
Full-time
Aston Villa
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,8
3,8
Scored
2,3
3,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,7
4,0
Scored
2,5
4,0
Conceded
2,2
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

1,67 xG 1,56
40% Possession 60%
8 Shots 19
6 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Legia Aston Villa
1–0 P. Wszołek ⚽
P. Kun
3′
6′
⚽ J. Durán 1–1
Patryk Kun 🟨
19′
2–1 E. Muçi ⚽
26′
38′
⚽ L. Digne 2–2
Half-time 3–2
3–2 E. Muçi ⚽
Marc Gual
51′
53′
🟨 Nicolò Zaniolo
61′
🔁 M. Diaby
↦ J. McGinn
61′
🔁 Douglas Luiz
↦ B. Kamara
61′
🔁 O. Watkins
↦ J. Durán
T. Pekhart 🔁
↦ Marc Gual
66′
67′
🔁 M. Cash
↦ C. Chambers
67′
🔁 J. Ramsey
↦ N. Zaniolo
70′
🟨 Moussa Diaby
M. Rosołek 🔁
↦ E. Muçi
72′
Yuri Ribeiro 🟨
84′
J. Çelhaka 🔁
↦ J. Elitim
90′
M. Baku 🔁
↦ P. Wszołek
90′
Kacper Tobiasz 🟨
94′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Legia

3-4-3
1 K. Tobiasz G
12 R. Pankov D
3 S. Kapuadi D
5 Yuri Ribeiro D
13 P. Wszołek M
99 B. Slisz M
22 J. Elitim M
33 P. Kun M
27 Josué F
28 Marc Gual F
20 E. Muçi F
Bench (12)
7 T. Pekhart
39 M. Rosołek
21 J. Çelhaka
32 M. Baku
18 P. Sokołowski
30 D. Hładun
9 B. Kramer
23 G. Kobylak
86 I. Strzałek
4 M. Burch
55 A. Jędrzejczyk
17 Gil Dias

Coach: K. Runjaić

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
1 E. Martínez G
16 C. Chambers D
4 E. Konsa D
17 C. Lenglet D
12 L. Digne D
44 B. Kamara M
8 Y. Tielemans M
31 L. Bailey M
7 J. McGinn M
22 N. Zaniolo M
24 J. Durán F
Bench (10)
19 M. Diaby
6 Douglas Luiz
11 O. Watkins
2 M. Cash
41 J. Ramsey
15 Álex Moreno
32 L. Dendoncker
25 R. Olsen
14 Pau Torres
42 F. Marschall

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Manouchos · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.