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La Liga

Referee: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez

Alaves

T S T T U

0–2

Full-time

Osasuna

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

14%

43%

Both score Ø 36%

29%

43%

Average goals

2,3

2,4

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,50 xG 1,12

46% Possession 54%

17 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 2

5 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 16. · Osasuna 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	8	7	0	1	+10	+5.7	21
2	Barcelona	8	6	2	0	+11	+9.7	20
3	Girona	8	6	1	1	+7	+2.8	19
4	Sociedad	8	4	3	1	+6	+0.6	15
5	Ath Bilbao	8	4	2	2	+4	+5.3	14
6	Ath Madrid	6	4	1	1	+10	+3.7	13
7	Vallecano	8	3	3	2	-2	+1.1	12
8	Valencia	7	3	1	3	+2	+0.7	10
9	Cadiz	7	2	3	2	-2	-2.7	9
10	Getafe	8	2	3	3	-3	-2.3	9
11	Betis	7	2	3	2	-5	-3.1	9
12	Villarreal	8	2	2	4	-3	-2.7	8
13	Sevilla	7	2	1	4	+1	-2.4	7
14	Mallorca	8	1	4	3	-3	-3.9	7
15	Osasuna	7	2	1	4	-3	-1.2	7
16	Alaves	7	2	1	4	-4	-0.6	7
17	Celta	7	1	2	4	-4	-2.8	5
18	Las Palmas	7	1	2	4	-4	-2.9	5
19	Granada	8	1	2	5	-8	-6.0	5
20	Almeria	8	0	3	5	-10	+0.9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+9	+5.3	12
2	Sociedad	5	3	2	0	+6	+1.1	11
3	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+4	+3.8	9
4	Girona	4	3	0	1	+3	+1.3	9
5	Cadiz	4	2	2	0	+3	+3.8	8
6	Getafe	4	2	2	0	+2	+0.7	8
7	Ath Bilbao	4	2	1	1	+3	+3.9	7
8	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.8	6
9	Sevilla	4	2	0	2	+3	+0.8	6
10	Valencia	4	2	0	2	+2	+2.8	6
11	Alaves	3	2	0	1	+0	+1.2	6
12	Betis	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.6	5
13	Las Palmas	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.2	5
14	Vallecano	4	1	2	1	-5	-0.6	5
15	Granada	4	1	1	2	-3	-2.4	4
16	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	-2	-2.2	3
17	Mallorca	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.9	2
18	Almeria	5	0	2	3	-5	+2.1	2
19	Celta	4	0	1	3	-4	-1.7	1
20	Osasuna	4	0	1	3	-5	-1.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	5	4	0	1	+6	+1.8	12
2	Girona	4	3	1	0	+4	+1.5	10
3	Barcelona	4	2	2	0	+2	+4.5	8
4	Ath Madrid	4	2	1	1	+6	+2.0	7
5	Vallecano	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.7	7
6	Ath Bilbao	4	2	1	1	+1	+1.5	7
7	Osasuna	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.2	6
8	Villarreal	4	1	2	1	-1	-0.5	5
9	Mallorca	5	1	2	2	-2	-1.0	5
10	Celta	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.1	4
11	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+0	-2.0	4
12	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.5	4
13	Betis	4	1	1	2	-6	-4.8	4
14	Sevilla	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.2	1
15	Alaves	4	0	1	3	-4	-1.8	1
16	Granada	4	0	1	3	-5	-3.6	1
17	Getafe	4	0	1	3	-5	-3.0	1
18	Almeria	3	0	1	2	-5	-1.2	1
19	Cadiz	3	0	1	2	-5	-6.5	1
20	Las Palmas	4	0	0	4	-5	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.