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LaLiga2
Referee: Salvador Lax
Eldense
S T U U T
1–3
Full-time
Oviedo
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eldense Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
1,2
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 15%
29%
0%
Points per game
1,1
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
57%
0%
Both score Ø 43%
57%
29%
Average goals
3,1
1,1
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
1,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eldense 17. · Oviedo 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 8 6 0 2 +8 18
2 Zaragoza 7 5 1 1 +7 16
3 Levante 8 4 3 1 +3 15
4 Tenerife 8 5 0 3 +2 15
5 Espanol 7 4 2 1 +6 14
6 Santander 8 3 3 2 +3 12
7 Ferrol 7 3 3 1 +2 12
8 Eibar 8 4 0 4 +0 12
9 Sp Gijon 7 3 2 2 +1 11
10 Albacete 8 3 2 3 +0 11
11 Burgos 7 3 1 3 +3 10
12 Valladolid 7 3 1 3 -1 10
13 Andorra 8 3 1 4 -4 10
14 Villarreal B 8 2 3 3 +0 9
15 Elche 8 2 3 3 -4 9
16 Amorebieta 7 2 2 3 +1 8
17 Eldense 7 2 2 3 -4 8
18 Huesca 7 1 4 2 -2 7
19 Mirandes 7 2 1 4 -3 7
20 Alcorcon 8 1 3 4 -8 6
21 Oviedo 7 0 3 4 -4 3
22 Cartagena 7 1 0 6 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eldense Oviedo
6′
Abel Bretones 0–1
Viti Rozada
14′
Paulino 0–2
Borja Bastón
25′
Borja Bastón 0–3
Paulino
31′
🔁 Sebas Moyano
↦ Jaime Seoane
Half-time 0–3
Pedro Capó 🔁
↦ F. Andone
46′
Álex Bernal 🔁
↦ David Timor
46′
Iván Chapela 🔁
↦ Derick Poloni
46′
E. Salcedo 🔁
↦ Cris Montes
56′
62′
🔁 Jimmy Suárez
↦ Paulino
Miguel Marí 🔁
↦ Sergio Ortu
77′
77′
🔁 Carlos Pomares
↦ Abel Bretones
78′
🔁 Santi Cazorla
↦ Viti Rozada
78′
🔁 Enol Rodríguez
↦ Borja Bastón
1–3 E. Salcedo
80′
Mario Soberón 🟨
82′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Eldense

4-4-2
1 Guille Vallejo G
2 Toni Abad D
4 D. Đumić D
24 David Timor D
12 Derick Poloni D
10 Cris Montes
8 Sergio Ortu M
16 Y. Didi M
23 Marc Mateu M
7 F. Andone F
9 Mario Soberón F
Bench (12)
18 Pedro Capó
21 Álex Bernal
20 Iván Chapela
27 E. Salcedo
15 Miguel Marí
17 Jesús Clemente
14 Miguel Llambrich
29 Arnau Ortiz
31 Álvaro Aceves
5 Piña
11 Juanto
13 Andoni Zubiaurre

Coach: Fernando Estévez

Oviedo

4-2-3-1
31 Leo Román G
15 Oier Luengo D
4 David Costas D
12 Dani Calvo D
23 Abel Bretones D
5 Luismi M
11 S. Colombatto M
18 Paulino M
16 Jaime Seoane M
7 Viti Rozada M
9 Borja Bastón F
Bench (10)
17 Sebas Moyano
6 Jimmy Suárez
21 Carlos Pomares
8 Santi Cazorla
27 Enol Rodríguez
33 Aimar Collante
29 Charbel Wehbe
32 Álex Cardero
1 Q. Braat
20 Mascarenhas

Coach: Álvaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,71
U
2,89
B ✓
2,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,71
U2,5
1,44
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Salvador Lax · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.