La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Betis
Valencia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +10 | +5.7 | 21 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +11 | +9.7 | 20 |
| 3 |
Girona
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +7 | +2.8 | 19 |
| 4 |
Sociedad
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +6 | +0.6 | 15 |
| 5 |
Ath Bilbao
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | +5.3 | 14 |
| 6 |
Ath Madrid
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +10 | +3.7 | 13 |
| 7 |
Vallecano
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -2 | +1.1 | 12 |
| 8 |
Valencia
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | +0.7 | 10 |
| 9 |
Osasuna
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -1.6 | 10 |
| 10 |
Cadiz
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -2.7 | 9 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | -2.3 | 9 |
| 12 |
Betis
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -5 | -3.1 | 9 |
| 13 |
Villarreal
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | -2.7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +1 | -2.4 | 7 |
| 15 |
Mallorca
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | -3.9 | 7 |
| 16 |
Alaves
|
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | -0.2 | 7 |
| 17 |
Celta
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | -2.8 | 5 |
| 18 |
Las Palmas
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | -2.9 | 5 |
| 19 |
Granada
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | -6.0 | 5 |
| 20 |
Almeria
|
8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | +0.9 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Héctor Bellerín
D
Marc Bartra
D
Juan Miranda
D
Guido Rodríguez
M
Marc Roca
M
Assane Diao
M
Isco
M
Ayoze Pérez
F
Coach: M. Pellegrini
Giorgi Mamardashvili
G
Cristhian Mosquera
D
Mouctar Diakhaby
D
Cenk Özkaçar
D
Pepelu
M
Javier Guerra
M
Fran Pérez
M
André Almeida
M
Pablo Gozálbez
M
Roman Yaremchuk
F
Coach: Rubén Baraja
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Granada
Betis
Betis
Cadiz
Rangers
Betis
Barcelona
Betis
Betis
Vallecano
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.