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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Kwiatkowski

Jagiellonia

T T S S S

4–1

Full-time

Gornik Zabrze

T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Gornik Zabrze

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,7

1,2

Scored

1,3

0,3

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 48%

75%

20%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

75%

Both score Ø 35%

50%

20%

Average goals

3,0

1,4

Scored

1,8

0,4

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

2,74 xG 0,32

56% Possession 44%

20 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 5

4 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Jagiellonia 3. · Gornik Zabrze 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	4	3	1	0	+7	+0.9	10
2	Zaglebie	6	3	1	2	+0	-0.6	10
3	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+2	+0.6	9
4	Cracovia	5	2	3	0	+2	-1.0	9
5	Radomiak Radom	6	3	0	3	+0	+1.2	9
6	Stal Mielec	6	2	2	2	+1	-2.4	8
7	Rakow	4	2	1	1	+4	+3.2	7
8	Slask Wroclaw	5	2	1	2	+1	-1.4	7
9	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.6	7
10	Piast Gliwice	6	1	4	1	+0	+5.8	7
11	Widzew Lodz	6	2	1	3	-2	-0.4	7
12	Puszcza	6	2	1	3	-3	-2.7	7
13	Warta Poznan	6	1	3	2	+0	+1.6	6
14	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.5	6
15	LKS Lodz	6	2	0	4	-5	–	6
16	Ruch Chorzow	6	1	2	3	-3	-1.9	5
17	Gornik Zabrze	5	1	2	2	-3	-3.5	5
18	Korona Kielce	5	1	1	3	-1	+0.6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	3	3	0	0	+7	+0.9	9
2	Stal Mielec	4	2	2	0	+4	-1.2	8
3	Rakow	3	2	1	0	+5	+3.2	7
4	Zaglebie	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.2	7
5	Puszcza	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.1	7
6	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
7	LKS Lodz	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
8	Widzew Lodz	3	2	0	1	+0	+1.5	6
9	Warta Poznan	4	1	2	1	+1	+1.4	5
10	Korona Kielce	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.5	4
11	Cracovia	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.5	4
12	Piast Gliwice	3	1	1	1	+0	+3.7	4
13	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
14	Slask Wroclaw	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.5	3
15	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.3	3
16	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.2	3
17	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	-1	+2.4	3
18	Gornik Zabrze	3	0	2	1	-2	-2.5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Radomiak Radom	4	2	0	2	+0	+1.3	6
2	Cracovia	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.5	5
3	Slask Wroclaw	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.8	4
4	Lech Poznan	3	1	1	1	-1	-3.0	4
5	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.1	3
6	Piast Gliwice	3	0	3	0	+0	+2.1	3
7	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.9	3
8	Zaglebie	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.7	3
9	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.7	3
10	Ruch Chorzow	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.5	2
11	Legia	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
12	Warta Poznan	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
13	Widzew Lodz	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.8	1
14	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
15	Korona Kielce	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.9	0
16	Stal Mielec	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.2	0
17	Puszcza	3	0	0	3	-5	-2.8	0
18	LKS Lodz	4	0	0	4	-7	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.