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Süper Lig

Referee: A Karaoğlan

Karagumruk

S U T U U

2–3

Full-time

Kasimpasa

U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,3

3,7

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,3

3,7

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

1,30 xG 0,22

73% Possession 27%

15 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 0

2 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karagumruk 14. · Kasimpasa 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	6	1	0	+10	+10.1	19
2	Fenerbahce	6	6	0	0	+10	+9.5	18
3	Trabzonspor	7	4	0	3	+5	-0.6	12
4	Ad. Demirspor	6	3	2	1	+5	+2.0	11
5	Hatayspor	7	2	5	0	+5	+2.1	11
6	Rizespor	6	3	2	1	+2	+1.6	11
7	Besiktas	6	3	1	2	-1	+3.7	10
8	Konyaspor	6	2	3	1	+2	-0.5	9
9	Kayserispor	6	2	3	1	+2	-2.2	9
10	Antalyaspor	7	2	3	2	+1	+1.0	9
11	Kasimpasa	6	2	3	1	-2	+1.3	9
12	Alanyaspor	6	1	4	1	+1	-0.2	7
13	Sivasspor	7	1	4	2	-2	-0.5	7
14	Karagumruk	6	1	3	2	+0	-5.8	6
15	Ankaragücü	7	1	3	3	-1	-2.7	6
16	Gaziantep	7	2	0	5	-7	-8.2	6
17	Pendikspor	7	0	4	3	-8	-4.1	4
18	Buyuksehyr	6	1	0	5	-8	-1.0	3
19	İstanbulspor	6	0	2	4	-6	-5.9	2
20	Samsunspor	6	0	1	5	-8	+0.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	3	3	0	0	+6	+6.1	9
2	Ad. Demirspor	3	3	0	0	+6	+2.1	9
3	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+5	+5.3	9
4	Trabzonspor	4	3	0	1	+4	+2.1	9
5	Besiktas	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.2	7
6	Kayserispor	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.3	7
7	Kasimpasa	4	2	1	1	-2	+0.6	7
8	Antalyaspor	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.0	5
9	Hatayspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.2	5
10	Alanyaspor	4	1	2	1	+1	-0.1	5
11	Rizespor	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.7	5
12	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.3	4
13	Sivasspor	4	0	3	1	-2	+0.8	3
14	Gaziantep	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.5	3
15	Ankaragücü	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.7	2
16	Karagumruk	3	0	2	1	-1	-4.1	2
17	Pendikspor	3	0	2	1	-4	-2.4	2
18	İstanbulspor	4	0	1	3	-4	-5.1	1
19	Samsunspor	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.1	0
20	Buyuksehyr	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.7	10
2	Fenerbahce	3	3	0	0	+4	+3.3	9
3	Hatayspor	4	1	3	0	+4	+2.4	6
4	Rizespor	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.1	6
5	Konyaspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.9	5
6	Karagumruk	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.6	4
7	Ankaragücü	4	1	1	2	+0	-3.4	4
8	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.3	4
9	Antalyaspor	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.0	4
10	Trabzonspor	3	1	0	2	+1	-2.7	3
11	Gaziantep	4	1	0	3	-4	-6.6	3
12	Besiktas	3	1	0	2	-4	+0.5	3
13	Buyuksehyr	3	1	0	2	-4	+0.7	3
14	Kasimpasa	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
15	Alanyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
16	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.0	2
17	Kayserispor	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.5	2
18	Pendikspor	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.7	2
19	İstanbulspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.9	1
20	Samsunspor	4	0	1	3	-5	+0.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.