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LaLiga2
Referee: José López
Valladolid
T T U S S
3–0
Full-time
Burgos
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
43%
43%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
0%
57%
Both score Ø 36%
14%
57%
Average goals
1,6
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 12. · Burgos 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 8 6 0 2 +8 18
2 Zaragoza 7 5 1 1 +7 16
3 Levante 8 4 3 1 +3 15
4 Tenerife 8 5 0 3 +2 15
5 Espanol 7 4 2 1 +6 14
6 Santander 8 3 3 2 +3 12
7 Ferrol 7 3 3 1 +2 12
8 Eibar 8 4 0 4 +0 12
9 Sp Gijon 7 3 2 2 +1 11
10 Albacete 8 3 2 3 +0 11
11 Burgos 7 3 1 3 +3 10
12 Valladolid 7 3 1 3 -1 10
13 Andorra 8 3 1 4 -4 10
14 Villarreal B 8 2 3 3 +0 9
15 Elche 8 2 3 3 -4 9
16 Amorebieta 7 2 2 3 +1 8
17 Eldense 8 2 2 4 -6 8
18 Huesca 7 1 4 2 -2 7
19 Mirandes 7 2 1 4 -3 7
20 Oviedo 8 1 3 4 -2 6
21 Alcorcon 8 1 3 4 -8 6
22 Cartagena 7 1 0 6 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Burgos
-5′
🟨 Daniel Ojeda
1–0 Marcos André
David Torres
6′
2–0 Monchu
41′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Fer Niño
↦ Ander Martín
Lucas Rosa 🔁
↦ Raúl Moro
63′
63′
🔁 Miki Muñoz
↦ Álex Bermejo
63′
🔁 Javi López
↦ Miguel Atienza
Víctor Meseguer 🔁
↦ Marcos André
64′
3–0 Víctor Meseguer
Lucas Rosa
68′
69′
🟨 Miguel Muñoz Mora
70′
🔁 Álex Sancris
↦ Curro Sánchez
Sergio Escudero 🟨
71′
Lucas Rosa 🟨
74′
77′
🔁 Andy
↦ K. Appin
A. Tuhami 🔁
↦ Monchu
78′
M. Sylla 🔁
↦ Kenedy
78′
César de la Hoz 🔁
↦ Iván Sánchez
87′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-1-3-2
25 John G
2 Luis Pérez D
6 F. Boyomo D
3 David Torres D
18 Sergio Escudero D
20 S. Jurić M
10 Iván Sánchez M
8 Monchu M
11 Raúl Moro M
24 Kenedy F
9 Marcos André F
Bench (12)
22 Lucas Rosa
4 Víctor Meseguer
23 A. Tuhami
7 M. Sylla
16 César de la Hoz
35 Iván Cédric
1 Jordi Masip
36 B. Akinsola
14 M. Malsa
26 Alberto Quintana
28 Chuky San José
15 Gustavo Henrique

Coach: P. Pezzolano

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 José Caro G
2 Borja González D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
24 E. Saveljich D
23 José Matos D
12 K. Appin M
5 Miguel Atienza M
8 Ander Martín M
16 Curro Sánchez M
10 Álex Bermejo M
19 Edu Espiau F
Bench (10)
9 Fer Niño
22 Miki Muñoz
27 Javi López
11 Álex Sancris
17 Andy
28 Saúl del Cerro
14 Unai Elgezabal
7 Dani Ojeda
6 Raúl Navarro
1 L. Badiashile

Coach: Bolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
U
3,48
B
4,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,19
U2,5
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José López · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.