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Süper Lig
Referee: A Şansalan
Ad. Demirspor
S U S T S
4–0
Full-time
Alanyaspor
U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Alanyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,8
1,8
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,39 xG 0,39
49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 5. · Alanyaspor 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 7 7 0 0 +15 +13.0 21
2 Galatasaray 7 6 1 0 +10 +10.1 19
3 Trabzonspor 7 4 0 3 +5 -0.6 12
4 Kasimpasa 7 3 3 1 -1 +0.2 12
5 Ad. Demirspor 6 3 2 1 +5 +2.0 11
6 Hatayspor 7 2 5 0 +5 +2.1 11
7 Rizespor 7 3 2 2 -3 -1.9 11
8 Besiktas 6 3 1 2 -1 +3.7 10
9 Konyaspor 6 2 3 1 +2 -0.5 9
10 Kayserispor 6 2 3 1 +2 -2.2 9
11 Antalyaspor 7 2 3 2 +1 +1.0 9
12 Alanyaspor 6 1 4 1 +1 -0.2 7
13 Sivasspor 7 1 4 2 -2 -0.5 7
14 Ankaragücü 7 1 3 3 -1 -2.7 6
15 Karagumruk 7 1 3 3 -1 -4.7 6
16 Gaziantep 7 2 0 5 -7 -8.2 6
17 Pendikspor 7 0 4 3 -8 -4.1 4
18 Buyuksehyr 6 1 0 5 -8 -1.0 3
19 İstanbulspor 6 0 2 4 -6 -5.9 2
20 Samsunspor 6 0 1 5 -8 +0.4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ad. Demirspor Alanyaspor
24′
🟨 Loide
1–0 M. Balotelli
Y. Sarı
30′
Ertaç Özbir 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 M. Balotelli
Y. Sarı
47′
48′
🟨 João Novais
M. Niang 🔁
↦ M. Balotelli
60′
D. Toköz 🔁
↦ B. Stambouli
61′
62′
🔁 Carlos Eduardo
↦ E. Karaca
62′
🔁 F. Hadergjonaj
↦ O. Aydın
70′
🔁 Anderson Silva
↦ João Novais
3–0 Y. Belhanda
Y. Sarı
71′
T. Aydoğan 🔁
↦ Y. Belhanda
72′
A. Zeneli 🔁
↦ Nani
73′
77′
🟨 Carlos Eduardo
81′
🔁 L. Fer
↦ Richard
81′
🔁 P. Sisto
↦ S. Córdova
A. Dursun 🔁
↦ Y. Erdoğan
82′
4–0 T. Aydoğan
87′
M'Baye Niang 🟨
91′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
25 E. Özbir G
22 J. Svensson D
5 A. Gravillon D
4 S. Güler D
32 Y. Erdoğan D
90 B. Stambouli M
8 E. Akbaba M
7 Y. Sarı M
10 Y. Belhanda M
30 Nani M
99 M. Balotelli F
Bench (10)
9 M. Niang
26 D. Toköz
6 T. Aydoğan
23 A. Zeneli
3 A. Dursun
2 İ. Çokçalış
21 A. Burak
66 P. Cissé
56 Y. Barası
71 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev

Coach: P. Kluivert

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
99 Y. Karagöz G
27 Loide Augusto D
4 F. Bayır D
5 F. Aliti D
88 Y. Özdemir D
25 Richard M
17 N. Janvier M
7 E. Karaca M
10 João Novais M
11 O. Aydın M
9 S. Córdova F
Bench (10)
28 Carlos Eduardo
94 F. Hadergjonaj
33 Anderson Silva
8 L. Fer
18 P. Sisto
35 Y. Aygün
20 F. Aksoy
2 Nuno Lima
29 J. Balkovec
21 E. Çavuş

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,73
U
4,08
B
4,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,41
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Şansalan · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.