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Puchar Polski
Referee: P Raczkowski
Jagiellonia
S S T S U
2–0
Full-time
Slask Wroclaw
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Slask Wroclaw
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisła Puławy 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Polonia Warszawa 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Piast Gliwice 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Znicz Pruszków 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Stal Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Arka Gdynia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 LKS Lodz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Radunia Stężyca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Garbarnia Kraków 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Stal Mielec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Korona Kielce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Motor Lublin 2 1 0 1 +0 3
19 Pogoń Siedlce 2 1 0 1 -1 3
20 Jastrzębie 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Kalisz 2 0 1 1 -1 1
22 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Jagiellonia II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
34 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
35 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
36 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
37 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -4 0
38 Start Krasnystaw 1 0 0 1 -4 0
39 Concordia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Jagiellonia Slask Wroclaw
J. Kubicki 🟨
12′
D. Stojinovic 🟨
13′
21′
🟨 D. Lukasik
Half-time 0–0
B. Nastic 🟨
46′
B. Wdowik 🔁
↦ B. Nastić
51′
M. Matysik 🔁
↦ M. Sáček
51′
54′
🟨 M. Zukowski
1–0 Nené
62′
63′
🔁 Erik Expósito
↦ K. Zohorè
63′
🔁 P. Pokorný
↦ D. Łukasik
63′
🔁 P. Schwarz
↦ M. Rzuchowski
José Naranjo 🔁
↦ K. Hansen
65′
68′
🟨 P. Olsen
74′
🔁 B. İnce
↦ Nahuel Leiva
74′
🔁 P. Samiec-Talar
↦ M. Żukowski
J. Naranjo 🟨
75′
D. Marczuk 🔁
↦ D. Stojinović
80′
T. Romanczuk 🔁
↦ T. Kupisz
80′
A. Pululu 🟨
83′
83′
🟨 P. Pokorny
S. Abramowicz 🟨
84′
2–0 Jesús Imaz
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

S. Abramowicz
B. Nastić
Adrián Diéguez
D. Stojinović
T. Kupisz
K. Hansen
Nené
J. Kubicki
M. Sáček
Jesús Imaz
Afimico Pululu
Bench (9)
B. Wdowik
M. Matysik
José Naranjo
D. Marczuk
T. Romanczuk
A. Nguiamba
P. Olszewski
W. Łaski
Z. Alomerović

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Slask Wroclaw

K. Trelowski
M. Konczkowski
C. Borthwick-Jackson
A. Petkov
M. Żukowski
A. Paluszek
P. Olsen
D. Łukasik
M. Rzuchowski
Nahuel Leiva
K. Zohorè
Bench (9)
Erik Expósito
P. Pokorný
P. Schwarz
B. İnce
P. Samiec-Talar
K. Borys
R. Leszczyński
Ł. Bejger
E. Matsenko

Coach: J. Magiera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Raczkowski · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.