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Pro League
Referee: J Vergoote
St. Gilloise
T S S U S
3–1
Full-time
Charleroi
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 4/7 matches
Win Ø 38%
75%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
75%
29%
Both score Ø 61%
50%
71%
Average goals
4,0
2,4
Scored
2,3
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

2,37 xG 0,32
40% Possession 60%
17 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 7
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gilloise 7. · Charleroi 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 6 4 1 1 +13 +9.3 13
2 Anderlecht 5 4 1 0 +5 +0.6 13
3 Cercle Brugge 6 4 0 2 +4 +5.5 12
4 RWD Molenbeek 8 3 2 3 -8 -5.4 11
5 Antwerp 6 2 4 0 +9 +3.9 10
6 Gent 4 3 1 0 +3 +0.8 10
7 St. Gilloise 4 3 0 1 +2 +2.1 9
8 Mechelen 5 2 2 1 +4 -1.5 8
9 Eupen 8 2 1 5 -8 -8.2 7
10 Standard 6 1 3 2 +0 -4.7 6
11 Genk 4 1 2 1 +3 +6.1 5
12 St Truiden 5 1 2 2 -2 -2.9 5
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6 1 2 3 -4 +1.9 5
14 Kortrijk 7 1 2 4 -10 -0.1 5
15 Charleroi 7 0 4 3 -5 -3.7 4
16 Westerlo 5 0 1 4 -6 -3.8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gilloise Charleroi
1–0 R. Sykes
Cameron Puertas
17′
28′
P. Guiagon 1–1
Oday Dabbagh
42′
ℹ️ Isaac Mbenza
VAR: Goal cancelled
2–1 C. Burgess
M. Rasmussen
45′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 A. Trébel
↦ M. Boukamir
3–1 R. Sykes
Cameron Puertas
49′
Ross Sykes ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
50′
55′
🟨 Damien Marcq
H. Teklab 🔁
↦ G. François
62′
63′
🔁 D. Heymans
↦ A. Zorgane
63′
🔁 S. Knežević
↦ D. Marcq
63′
🔁 Y. Badji
↦ Oday Dabbagh
Christian Burgess 🟨
64′
M. Amoura 🔁
↦ C. Vanhoutte
70′
J. Imbrechts 🔁
↦ A. Moris
70′
G. Nilsson 🔁
↦ K. Rodríguez
70′
Mohamed El Amine Amoura ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
79′
82′
🔁 Y. Sylla
↦ P. Guiagon
86′
🟨 Marco Ilaimaharitra
K. Mac Allister 🔁
↦ R. Sykes
87′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-4-2-1
49 A. Moris G
26 R. Sykes D
16 C. Burgess D
48 F. Leysen D
19 G. François M
27 N. Sadiki M
24 C. Vanhoutte M
17 C. Terho M
4 M. Rasmussen F
23 Cameron Puertas F
13 K. Rodríguez F
Bench (7)
11 H. Teklab
47 M. Amoura
14 J. Imbrechts
29 G. Nilsson
5 K. Mac Allister
28 K. Machida
8 L. Amani

Coach: A. Blessin

Charleroi

3-4-3
16 H. Koffi G
32 M. Boukamir D
25 D. Marcq D
21 S. Andreou D
29 Ž. Rogelj M
6 A. Zorgane M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
15 V. Dragsnes M
8 P. Guiagon F
9 Oday Dabbagh F
7 I. Mbenza F
Bench (7)
22 A. Trébel
18 D. Heymans
3 S. Knežević
10 Y. Badji
80 Y. Sylla
55 M. Delavallée
27 R. Monticelli

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
4,31
B
5,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,34
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.