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Ekstraklasa
Referee: S Marciniak
Slask Wroclaw
S T S U T
4–1
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Slask Wroclaw Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 29%
27%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
36%
60%
Both score Ø 63%
55%
70%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

35% Possession 65%
12 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Slask Wroclaw 14. · Gornik Zabrze 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 11 7 2 2 +10 23
2 Wisla Plock 12 6 3 3 +10 21
3 Pogon Szczecin 12 6 3 3 +4 21
4 Legia 11 6 3 2 +1 21
5 Stal Mielec 12 6 1 5 -1 19
6 Jagiellonia 12 4 5 3 +6 17
7 Cracovia 11 5 2 4 +5 17
8 Widzew Lodz 11 5 2 4 +4 17
9 Zaglebie 11 4 4 3 -2 16
10 Lech Poznan 10 4 3 3 +2 15
11 Warta Poznan 11 4 2 5 -2 14
12 Radomiak Radom 11 4 2 5 -4 14
13 Gornik Zabrze 10 3 4 3 +0 13
14 Slask Wroclaw 11 3 4 4 -6 13
15 Piast Gliwice 11 3 2 6 -2 11
16 Korona Kielce 11 3 2 6 -4 11
17 Legnica 10 1 2 7 -9 5
18 Lechia Gdansk 10 1 2 7 -12 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Slask Wroclaw Gornik Zabrze
1–0 Nahuel Leiva
Ł. Bejger
11′
2–0 Erik Expósito
D. Grétarsson
20′
P. Schwarz 🔁
↦ D. Jastrzembski
28′
36′
🟨 Lukas Podolski
J. Hyjek 🔁
↦ Nahuel Leiva
38′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Jules
↦ J. Kotzke
46′
🔁 S. Włodarczyk
↦ P. Krawczyk
55′
S. Włodarczyk 2–1
64′
🔁 A. Paluszek
↦ K. Szcześniak
71′
🔁 Dani Pacheco
↦ B. Vrhovec
76′
🔁 P. Olkowski
↦ R. Dadok
Patrick Olsen 🟨
81′
81′
🟨 Jean Jules Mvondo
Petr Schwarz 🟨
88′
3–1 Ł. Bejger
J. Hyjek
92′
K. Borys 🔁
↦ J. Yeboah
93′
4–1 P. Olsen
94′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Slask Wroclaw

3-4-2-1
12 R. Leszczyński G
34 K. Poprawa D
2 Diogo Verdasca D
6 D. Grétarsson D
4 Ł. Bejger M
8 P. Olsen M
15 Nahuel Leiva M
23 Víctor García M
7 J. Yeboah F
11 D. Jastrzembski F
9 Erik Expósito F
Bench (9)
17 P. Schwarz
16 J. Hyjek
18 K. Borys
32 S. Bergier
1 M. Szromnik
10 Caye Quintana
24 P. Samiec-Talar
41 O. Wypart
31 J. Lutostanski

Coach: I. Đurđević

Gornik Zabrze

3-4-2-1
32 K. Broll G
5 K. Szcześniak D
13 E. Bergström D
3 R. Jensen D
96 R. Dadok M
25 J. Kotzke M
8 B. Vrhovec M
64 E. Janža M
33 K. Okunuki F
10 Ł. Podolski F
21 P. Krawczyk F
Bench (9)
23 J. Jules
20 S. Włodarczyk
4 A. Paluszek
7 Dani Pacheco
16 P. Olkowski
11 M. Cholewiak
1 D. Bielica
71 A. Maroša
15 N. Wojtuszek

Coach: B. Gaul

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Marciniak · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.