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Conference League
Referee: T Bognár
Lech Poznan
T U S S U
0–0
Full-time
Hapoel Beer Sheva
S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Hapoel Beer Sheva
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — Conference League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
3,6
2,1
Scored
2,5
1,4
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lech Poznan Hapoel Beer Sheva
29′
🟨 Rotem Hatuel
Pedro Rebocho 🔁
↦ B. Douglas
32′
Kristoffer Velde 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 D. Micha
↦ T. Yosefi
46′
🔁 O. Dadya
↦ E. Abu Abaid
João Amaral 🔁
↦ F. Marchwiński
60′
N. Kvekveskiri 🔁
↦ R. Murawski
61′
G. Tsitaishvili 🔁
↦ K. Velde
61′
64′
🔁 A. Selmani
↦ T. Hemed
73′
🔁 E. Ansah
↦ S. Yehezkel
A. Sobiech 🔁
↦ M. Skóraś
82′
Jesper Karlström 🟨
83′
84′
🔁 E. Shamir
↦ R. Hatuel
86′
🟨 Omri Glazer
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
35 F. Bednarek G
2 Joel Pereira D
25 F. Dagerstål D
16 A. Milić D
3 B. Douglas D
22 R. Murawski M
6 J. Karlström M
21 M. Skóraś M
11 F. Marchwiński M
23 K. Velde M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (11)
5 Pedro Rebocho
24 João Amaral
30 N. Kvekveskiri
14 G. Tsitaishvili
90 A. Sobiech
50 A. Ba Loua
17 F. Szymczak
37 Ľ. Šatka
1 A. Rudko
7 Afonso Sousa
44 A. Czerwiński

Coach: J. van den Brom

Hapoel Beer Sheva

3-4-1-2
55 O. Glazer G
5 E. Abu Abaid D
4 M. Vítor D
18 E. Tibi D
11 S. Yehezkel M
35 M. Bareiro M
19 S. Elias M
22 Hélder Lopes M
15 T. Yosefi F
77 R. Hatuel F
17 T. Hemed F
Bench (8)
10 D. Micha
30 O. Dadya
21 A. Selmani
13 E. Ansah
20 E. Shamir
9 I. Shechter
16 R. Maman
1 A. Harush

Coach: E. Barda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Bognár · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.