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Conference League
Referee: R Buquet
1–1
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hapoel Beer Sheva Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — Conference League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 44%
44%
44%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
33%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
1,9
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Hapoel Beer Sheva Lech Poznan
1–0 T. Hemed
9′
44′
F. Szymczak 1–1
F. Dagerstål
Half-time 1–1
57′
🔁 K. Velde
↦ G. Tsitaishvili
E. Ansah 🔁
↦ R. Hatuel
59′
68′
🟨 Jesper Karlström
68′
🔁 João Amaral
↦ F. Szymczak
I. Shechter 🔁
↦ T. Hemed
72′
S. Yehezkel 🔁
↦ M. Suleymanov
72′
Shai Elias 🟨
78′
A. Selmani 🔁
↦ E. Abu Abaid
81′
E. Shamir 🔁
↦ M. Bareiro
81′
85′
🔁 N. Kvekveskiri
↦ R. Murawski
85′
🔁 F. Marchwiński
↦ M. Skóraś
93′
🟨 Filip Marchwiński
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hapoel Beer Sheva

4-3-3
55 O. Glazer G
5 E. Abu Abaid D
4 M. Vítor D
18 E. Tibi D
22 Hélder Lopes D
10 D. Micha M
35 M. Bareiro M
19 S. Elias M
93 M. Suleymanov F
17 T. Hemed F
77 R. Hatuel F
Bench (12)
13 E. Ansah
9 I. Shechter
11 S. Yehezkel
21 A. Selmani
20 E. Shamir
45 K. Zaid
37 E. Khalfin
34 A. Ganah
15 T. Yosefi
1 A. Harush
41 L. Abitbul
16 R. Maman

Coach: E. Barda

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
35 F. Bednarek G
2 Joel Pereira D
25 F. Dagerstål D
16 A. Milić D
5 Pedro Rebocho D
6 J. Karlström M
22 R. Murawski M
14 G. Tsitaishvili M
17 F. Szymczak M
21 M. Skóraś M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (11)
23 K. Velde
24 João Amaral
30 N. Kvekveskiri
11 F. Marchwiński
20 M. Pingot
44 A. Czerwiński
1 A. Rudko
37 Ľ. Šatka
27 M. Żukowski
90 A. Sobiech
31 K. Bąkowski

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.