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Ekstraklasa

Rakow

S S U S S

2–1

Full-time

Stal Mielec

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Stal Mielec

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,7

Scored

2,8

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,7

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-1,7

This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

71%

14%

Points per game

2,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

100%

43%

Both score Ø 72%

86%

57%

Average goals

3,7

3,4

Scored

2,6

1,0

Conceded

1,1

2,4

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Rakow 1. · Stal Mielec 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	7	5	1	1	+10	16
2	Zaglebie	8	4	2	2	+3	14
3	Gornik Zabrze	7	4	1	2	+5	13
4	Slask Wroclaw	8	4	1	3	+4	13
5	Legia	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Pogon Szczecin	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Jagiellonia	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	Lechia Gdansk	7	3	1	3	+1	10
9	Cracovia	7	2	4	1	+0	10
10	Wisla	7	2	3	2	+4	9
11	Wisla Plock	8	2	3	3	-2	9
12	Lech Poznan	6	2	2	2	+2	8
13	Warta Poznan	6	2	1	3	+0	7
14	Stal Mielec	7	1	2	4	-10	5
15	Podbeskidzie	8	1	2	5	-12	5
16	Piast Gliwice	8	0	2	6	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zaglebie	5	3	2	0	+4	11
2	Slask Wroclaw	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Cracovia	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Lechia Gdansk	4	2	0	2	+3	6
6	Rakow	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Legia	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Pogon Szczecin	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Jagiellonia	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Wisla Plock	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Podbeskidzie	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Wisla	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Stal Mielec	3	1	0	2	-7	3
15	Warta Poznan	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Piast Gliwice	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Legia	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Wisla	4	1	3	0	+6	6
4	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Warta Poznan	4	2	0	2	+1	6
6	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Wisla Plock	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Lech Poznan	4	1	1	2	+1	4
10	Lechia Gdansk	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Slask Wroclaw	4	1	0	3	-1	3
12	Zaglebie	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Cracovia	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Stal Mielec	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Piast Gliwice	4	0	1	3	-4	1
16	Podbeskidzie	4	0	1	3	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.