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Allsvenskan
Referee: M Al Hakim
Malmo FF
U S S S S
4–2
Full-time
Hammarby
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Hammarby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
This season — Allsvenskan · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

62% Possession 38%
17 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malmo FF 2. · Hammarby 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hacken 5 4 0 1 +7 12
2 Malmo FF 4 4 0 0 +6 12
3 Elfsborg 5 3 1 1 +5 10
4 Kalmar 4 3 0 1 +5 9
5 Norrkoping 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Djurgarden 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Mjallby 5 2 1 2 +0 7
8 Hammarby 4 2 0 2 +0 6
9 Varnamo 5 2 0 3 -2 6
10 Halmstad 5 2 0 3 -3 6
11 Brommapojkarna 5 2 0 3 -4 6
12 AIK 5 1 1 3 -3 4
13 Sirius 5 0 4 1 -3 4
14 Varberg 4 0 3 1 -2 3
15 Degerfors 4 1 0 3 -3 3
16 Goteborg 4 0 0 4 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malmo FF Hammarby
1–0 S. Vecchia
15′
26′
🟨 Shaquille Pinas
2–0 I. Kiese Thelin
Busanello
36′
3–0 I. Kiese Thelin
S. Vecchia
43′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 A. Nalić
↦ P. Vagić
46′
🔁 F. Hammar
↦ T. Tekie
46′
🔁 N. Adjei
↦ S. Strand
46′
🔁 A. Kralj
↦ S. Pinas
58′
V. Đukanović 3–1
A. Nalić
4–1 I. Kiese Thelin
59′
T. Ali 🔁
↦ S. Vecchia
66′
S. Rieks 🔁
↦ A. Christiansen
66′
73′
A. Nalić 4–2
A. Saidi
O. Lewicki 🔁
↦ S. Nanasi
76′
76′
🔁 A. Demirol
↦ A. Mikkelsen
H. Bolin 🔁
↦ S. Peña
92′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-2-3-1
27 J. Dahlin G
15 J. Ceesay D
24 L. Nielsen D
19 D. Cornelius D
25 Busanello D
8 S. Peña M
31 H. Larsson M
11 S. Nanasi M
10 A. Christiansen M
21 S. Vecchia M
9 I. Kiese Thelin F
Bench (9)
22 T. Ali
5 S. Rieks
6 O. Lewicki
38 H. Bolin
35 S. Kotto
13 M. Olsson
1 M. Ellborg
20 M. Zeidan
36 P. Sejdiu

Coach: H. Rydström

Hammarby

4-1-4-1
1 O. Dovin G
21 S. Strand D
4 E. Kurtulus D
13 M. Fenger D
30 S. Pinas D
18 L. Sadiku M
17 A. Mikkelsen M
5 T. Tekie M
15 P. Vagić M
7 V. Đukanović M
40 A. Saidi F
Bench (9)
9 A. Nalić
33 F. Hammar
32 N. Adjei
3 A. Kralj
34 A. Demirol
25 D. Blažević
20 N. Besara
38 M. Madjed
19 J. Erabi

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.