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Allsvenskan

Referee: A Aganovic

Djurgarden

T U S S S

1–2

Full-time

Varnamo

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Djurgarden Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 48%

55%

41%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

45%

36%

Both score Ø 39%

45%

32%

Average goals

2,6

2,1

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,14 xG 1,10

53% Possession 47%

22 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 8

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Djurgarden 4. · Varnamo 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	22	15	3	4	+28	+5.2	48
2	Malmo FF	22	14	4	4	+27	+4.7	46
3	Hacken	22	14	2	6	+25	+2.2	44
4	Djurgarden	22	12	4	6	+8	+2.0	40
5	Hammarby	22	10	5	7	+3	+2.7	35
6	Norrkoping	22	10	4	8	+7	+5.7	34
7	Mjallby	22	9	4	9	-2	-5.9	31
8	Kalmar	22	8	6	8	-7	-4.0	30
9	Varnamo	22	9	2	11	-1	+2.5	29
10	Halmstad	22	8	5	9	-14	-3.7	29
11	Goteborg	23	6	8	9	-2	-1.9	26
12	Brommapojkarna	23	8	2	13	-9	-2.2	26
13	Sirius	23	6	5	12	-1	+5.4	23
14	Degerfors	22	7	2	13	-25	-6.9	23
15	AIK	22	5	7	10	-6	+1.5	22
16	Varberg	23	3	5	15	-31	-7.5	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hacken	11	10	0	1	+23	+0.5	30
2	Djurgarden	11	9	1	1	+12	+1.7	28
3	Malmo FF	12	8	3	1	+20	+2.1	27
4	Elfsborg	11	8	2	1	+19	+1.1	26
5	Hammarby	10	8	1	1	+10	+2.6	25
6	Goteborg	12	5	3	4	+8	-0.0	18
7	Kalmar	11	5	3	3	-1	-1.5	18
8	Norrkoping	11	5	2	4	+3	+0.7	17
9	Degerfors	12	5	2	5	-2	-0.6	17
10	Halmstad	11	4	3	4	-5	-2.3	15
11	Sirius	12	4	1	7	+4	+6.4	13
12	Brommapojkarna	11	4	1	6	-2	-0.1	13
13	Varnamo	11	4	1	6	-2	+1.6	13
14	Mjallby	11	3	3	5	-2	-5.3	12
15	AIK	10	2	5	3	+0	+1.6	11
16	Varberg	11	1	3	7	-17	+0.3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	11	7	1	3	+9	+4.0	22
2	Malmo FF	10	6	1	3	+7	+2.6	19
3	Mjallby	11	6	1	4	+0	-0.6	19
4	Norrkoping	11	5	2	4	+4	+5.0	17
5	Varnamo	11	5	1	5	+1	+0.9	16
6	Hacken	11	4	2	5	+2	+1.7	14
7	Halmstad	11	4	2	5	-9	-1.4	14
8	Brommapojkarna	12	4	1	7	-7	-2.1	13
9	Djurgarden	11	3	3	5	-4	+0.3	12
10	Kalmar	11	3	3	5	-6	-2.4	12
11	AIK	12	3	2	7	-6	-0.2	11
12	Sirius	11	2	4	5	-5	-1.0	10
13	Hammarby	12	2	4	6	-7	+0.2	10
14	Goteborg	11	1	5	5	-10	-1.8	8
15	Varberg	12	2	2	8	-14	-7.8	8
16	Degerfors	10	2	0	8	-23	-6.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.