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Allsvenskan

Referee: F Klitte

Hammarby

S T U U U

5–1

Full-time

Varberg

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Varberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

This season — Allsvenskan · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

58%

46%

Both score Ø 38%

38%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,8

0,9

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

62% Possession 38%

19 Shots 9

12 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

8 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hammarby 5. · Varberg 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	25	14	9	2	+23	51
2	Djurgarden	25	14	6	5	+26	48
3	Kalmar	25	13	5	7	+11	44
4	AIK	25	12	8	5	+10	44
5	Hammarby	24	12	7	5	+23	43
6	Malmo FF	25	12	6	7	+10	42
7	Elfsborg	25	9	9	7	+12	36
8	Goteborg	25	11	3	11	+4	36
9	Mjallby	25	8	10	7	-1	34
10	Varnamo	25	8	8	9	-9	32
11	Norrkoping	25	7	8	10	-1	29
12	Sirius	25	7	6	12	-13	27
13	Varberg	24	6	7	11	-16	25
14	Degerfors	25	5	7	13	-20	22
15	Helsingborg	25	4	5	16	-20	17
16	Sundsvall	25	4	2	19	-39	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	12	10	1	1	+25	31
2	Kalmar	13	9	2	2	+10	29
3	AIK	13	8	4	1	+12	28
4	Malmo FF	13	8	3	2	+13	27
5	Hammarby	12	7	4	1	+18	25
6	Hacken	12	7	3	2	+13	24
7	Elfsborg	12	6	4	2	+10	22
8	Varnamo	12	5	5	2	+4	20
9	Goteborg	12	5	3	4	+3	18
10	Mjallby	12	4	6	2	+2	18
11	Degerfors	13	4	5	4	-3	17
12	Varberg	13	4	5	4	-4	17
13	Norrkoping	13	4	4	5	+3	16
14	Sirius	12	5	1	6	-1	16
15	Sundsvall	13	4	0	9	-16	12
16	Helsingborg	12	2	3	7	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	13	7	6	0	+10	27
2	Hammarby	12	5	3	4	+5	18
3	Goteborg	13	6	0	7	+1	18
4	Djurgarden	13	4	5	4	+1	17
5	AIK	12	4	4	4	-2	16
6	Mjallby	13	4	4	5	-3	16
7	Kalmar	12	4	3	5	+1	15
8	Malmo FF	12	4	3	5	-3	15
9	Elfsborg	13	3	5	5	+2	14
10	Norrkoping	12	3	4	5	-4	13
11	Varnamo	13	3	3	7	-13	12
12	Sirius	13	2	5	6	-12	11
13	Helsingborg	13	2	2	9	-12	8
14	Varberg	11	2	2	7	-12	8
15	Degerfors	12	1	2	9	-17	5
16	Sundsvall	12	0	2	10	-23	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.