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Superligaen

Referee: J Sundberg

Viborg

T S T S U

1–2

Full-time

Aarhus

S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 55%

46%

63%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

63%

54%

Both score Ø 67%

63%

71%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

1,6

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,81 xG 2,58

59% Possession 41%

11 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Viborg 4. · Aarhus 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	24	15	7	2	+23	+17.1	52
2	Midtjylland	25	13	9	3	+34	+8.6	48
3	Sonderjyske	25	10	8	7	+4	+0.1	38
4	Viborg	24	11	4	9	+3	-0.9	37
5	Nordsjaelland	24	12	1	11	+1	-0.7	37
6	Brondby	24	10	5	9	+8	+5.5	35
7	Odense	25	9	7	9	-8	+4.6	34
8	FC Copenhagen	25	9	5	11	+6	+18.5	32
9	Randers FC	25	8	6	11	-5	+4.4	30
10	Fredericia	25	8	3	14	-22	-24.2	27
11	Silkeborg	25	6	5	14	-25	-19.1	23
12	Vejle	25	3	8	14	-19	-14.0	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	13	7	5	1	+19	+8.7	26
2	Aarhus	12	8	2	2	+12	+15.3	26
3	Sonderjyske	12	7	3	2	+8	+2.7	24
4	Nordsjaelland	12	7	1	4	+10	+6.8	22
5	Odense	13	6	3	4	-2	+6.7	21
6	Viborg	12	6	2	4	+4	-3.7	20
7	Brondby	12	5	3	4	+4	+2.0	18
8	FC Copenhagen	13	4	4	5	+5	+15.9	16
9	Randers FC	12	4	2	6	-6	+0.2	14
10	Vejle	13	3	4	6	-2	-3.4	13
11	Silkeborg	12	3	3	6	-8	-3.2	12
12	Fredericia	12	3	2	7	-14	-8.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	12	7	5	0	+11	+1.8	26
2	Midtjylland	12	6	4	2	+15	-0.0	22
3	Brondby	12	5	2	5	+4	+3.5	17
4	Viborg	12	5	2	5	-1	+2.8	17
5	FC Copenhagen	12	5	1	6	+1	+2.6	16
6	Randers FC	13	4	4	5	+1	+4.2	16
7	Fredericia	13	5	1	7	-8	-15.6	16
8	Nordsjaelland	12	5	0	7	-9	-7.5	15
9	Sonderjyske	13	3	5	5	-4	-2.6	14
10	Odense	12	3	4	5	-6	-2.1	13
11	Silkeborg	13	3	2	8	-17	-15.9	11
12	Vejle	12	0	4	8	-17	-10.5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.