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DBU Pokalen

Referee: M Krogh

Midtjylland

S S S S U

1–1

Full-time

Aarhus

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

2,2

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — DBU Pokalen · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 70%

80%

60%

Points per game

2,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

80%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

3,4

2,4

Scored

2,8

1,4

Conceded

0,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Midtjylland 3. · Aarhus 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Odense	5	4	0	1	+16	12
3	Midtjylland	5	4	0	1	+11	12
4	Vejle	5	4	0	1	+9	12
5	Viborg	7	3	1	3	+7	10
6	Esbjerg	6	3	1	2	-1	10
7	Aarhus Fremad	4	3	0	1	+12	9
8	Hobro	4	3	0	1	+3	9
9	Aarhus	5	3	0	2	+2	9
10	Nordsjaelland	4	3	0	1	+1	9
11	Fredericia	3	2	1	0	+3	7
12	Brønshøj	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	Lyseng	4	2	1	1	-2	7
14	Sonderjyske	3	2	0	1	+10	6
15	VSK Århus	3	2	0	1	+8	6
16	Holbæk B&I	3	2	0	1	+7	6
17	Roskilde	3	2	0	1	+6	6
18	Hillerød	3	2	0	1	+5	6
19	HIK	3	2	0	1	+5	6
20	Thisted FC	3	2	0	1	+5	6
21	Kolding IF	3	2	0	1	+4	6
22	Sundby	3	2	0	1	+3	6
23	Aalborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
24	Ringsted	3	2	0	1	+2	6
25	Silkeborg	3	2	0	1	+2	6
26	Oksbøl	3	2	0	1	+1	6
27	Hvidovre IF	3	2	0	1	+1	6
28	Kolding B	3	2	0	1	-1	6
29	B 93	3	1	1	1	+7	4
30	Odder	2	1	1	0	+2	4
31	GVI	2	1	1	0	+2	4
32	AB Copenhagen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
33	Randers FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
34	Lyngby	3	1	1	1	-1	4
35	Skjold Sæby	2	1	0	1	+5	3
36	Vejgaard B	2	1	0	1	+5	3
37	Vanløse	2	1	0	1	+4	3
38	FC Nakskov	2	1	0	1	+2	3
39	Brondby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	Skive	2	1	0	1	+1	3
41	FC Horsens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Farsø/Ullits	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Middelfart	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	BSI	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Horsens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	FA 2000	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Tune	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Skanderborg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	Ishøj	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	B 1909	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Bramming	2	1	0	1	-3	3
52	Mejrup	2	1	0	1	-3	3
53	Marstal / Rise	2	1	0	1	-4	3
54	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	-4	3
55	Silkeborg KFUM	3	1	0	2	-7	3
56	Raklev	2	1	0	1	-8	3
57	FC Kalundborg	2	1	0	1	-10	3
58	LSF	2	0	2	0	+0	2
59	Frem	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Nykobing FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	HB Koge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	OKS	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Tved	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Næsby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Fremad Amager	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Vendsyssel FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Marienlyst	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	TRIF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Nerashté Ballerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	FC Helsingor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Sønderborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Stenløse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Allerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Holstebro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Skovsgård	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Rudersdal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Fredensborg BI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Skødstrup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Billund	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Brabrand	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	BK Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Grenaa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Skibsby-Hojene	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	KFUM Odense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	BiH Odense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
96	Frem Sakskøbing	1	0	0	1	-5	0
97	Norager	1	0	0	1	-5	0
98	Husum	1	0	0	1	-5	0
99	Viktoria	1	0	0	1	-5	0
100	Øresund OKF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
101	Vallensbæk	1	0	0	1	-6	0
102	Snejbjerg	1	0	0	1	-6	0
103	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-7	0
104	Ålholm	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Nordsjaelland	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	FC Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Ringsted	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Aarhus	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Oksbøl	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Viborg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Holbæk B&I	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Bramming	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Ishøj	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Odense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Vejle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Hvidovre IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Farsø/Ullits	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	BSI	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Brønshøj	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Skanderborg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Sundby	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	B 1909	2	1	0	1	-2	3
20	Lyseng	2	1	0	1	-3	3
21	Mejrup	2	1	0	1	-3	3
22	Marstal / Rise	2	1	0	1	-4	3
23	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	-4	3
24	Raklev	2	1	0	1	-8	3
25	FC Kalundborg	2	1	0	1	-10	3
26	LSF	2	0	2	0	+0	2
27	GVI	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Fredericia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	AB Copenhagen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Esbjerg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
32	OKS	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Næsby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Thisted FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Middelfart	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Aarhus Fremad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Vendsyssel FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Marienlyst	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Vejgaard B	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Horsens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	FC Helsingor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Allerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Tune	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Holstebro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Skovsgård	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Rudersdal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Fredensborg BI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Skive	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Kolding IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Skødstrup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Hobro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	B 93	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Aalborg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Brabrand	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	BK Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Grenaa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Skibsby-Hojene	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	KFUM Odense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	BiH Odense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
70	Frem Sakskøbing	1	0	0	1	-5	0
71	Norager	1	0	0	1	-5	0
72	Husum	1	0	0	1	-5	0
73	Kolding B	1	0	0	1	-5	0
74	Viktoria	1	0	0	1	-5	0
75	Øresund OKF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
76	FC Horsens	1	0	0	1	-5	0
77	Vallensbæk	1	0	0	1	-6	0
78	Snejbjerg	1	0	0	1	-6	0
79	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-7	0
80	Silkeborg KFUM	2	0	0	2	-10	0
81	Ålholm	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Odense	4	3	0	1	+15	9
3	Aarhus Fremad	3	3	0	0	+13	9
4	Vejle	4	3	0	1	+8	9
5	Hobro	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Esbjerg	4	3	0	1	+1	9
7	Viborg	5	2	1	2	+5	7
8	Sonderjyske	3	2	0	1	+10	6
9	VSK Århus	3	2	0	1	+8	6
10	Roskilde	3	2	0	1	+6	6
11	Aalborg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
12	Hillerød	2	2	0	0	+6	6
13	HIK	2	2	0	0	+6	6
14	Kolding IF	2	2	0	0	+6	6
15	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+6	6
16	Kolding B	2	2	0	0	+4	6
17	Fredericia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
18	Midtjylland	3	2	0	1	+3	6
19	Silkeborg	3	2	0	1	+2	6
20	B 93	2	1	1	0	+10	4
21	Brønshøj	2	1	1	0	+2	4
22	Lyseng	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Randers FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Lyngby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
25	FC Nakskov	1	1	0	0	+6	3
26	Vejgaard B	1	1	0	0	+6	3
27	Skjold Sæby	2	1	0	1	+5	3
28	FC Horsens	1	1	0	0	+5	3
29	Sundby	1	1	0	0	+5	3
30	Holbæk B&I	1	1	0	0	+5	3
31	Vanløse	2	1	0	1	+4	3
32	Skive	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
34	Odder	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	AB Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	GVI	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Brondby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Middelfart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Hvidovre IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Tune	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	FA 2000	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Aarhus	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Nordsjaelland	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	Frem	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Nykobing FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	HB Koge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Tved	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Fremad Amager	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	TRIF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Nerashté Ballerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Sønderborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Stenløse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Billund	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Ishøj	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Bramming	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.