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Superligaen
Referee: J Hansen
Midtjylland
S S U U S
0–1
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,8
Scored
1,8
2,5
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 52%
59%
45%
Points per game
2,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
64%
73%
Both score Ø 55%
59%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,6
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,10 xG 0,73
60% Possession 40%
9 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Midtjylland 2. · Nordsjaelland 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Aarhus 22 15 5 2 +23 +16.3 50
2 Midtjylland 22 13 7 2 +35 +7.5 46
3 Sonderjyske 22 10 6 6 +6 +0.9 36
4 Brondby 22 10 4 8 +9 +7.6 34
5 Viborg 22 10 3 9 +2 -2.1 33
6 Nordsjaelland 22 10 1 11 -2 -0.4 31
7 FC Copenhagen 22 8 5 9 +1 +12.7 29
8 Randers FC 23 8 5 10 -2 +4.5 29
9 Odense 22 7 6 9 -10 +2.4 27
10 Fredericia 23 7 3 13 -22 -19.2 24
11 Silkeborg 22 5 4 13 -21 -16.9 19
12 Vejle 22 3 5 14 -19 -13.2 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Midtjylland Nordsjaelland
Ousmane Diao 🟨
12′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Ibrahim Adel
M. Erlic 🔁
↦ O. Diao
46′
D. Castillo 🔁
↦ V. Byskov
46′
Denil Castillo 🟨
49′
Denil Castillo ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
49′
59′
🔁 H. Rasmussen
↦ I. Adel
59′
🔁 L. Nene
↦ P. Amoako
E. Chilufya 🔁
↦ D. Osorio
68′
M. Uhre 🔁
↦ Cho Gue-Sung
68′
Martin Erlić 🟨
79′
P. Billing 🔁
↦ V. Bak
80′
80′
🔁 D. Johannesson
↦ M. Brink
85′
🟨 Levy Nene
89′
🔁 V. Gustafsen
↦ J. Lahteenmaki
89′
🔁 V. Rutkjaer
↦ M. Heyde
90′
L. Nene 0–1
D. Johannesson
Philip Billing 🟨
104′
104′
🟨 Caleb Yirenkyi
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Midtjylland

3-4-2-1
16 E. Olafsson G
4 O. Diao D
3 Lee Han-Beom D
22 M. Bech Sorensen D
11 D. Osorio M
20 V. Byskov M
19 P. Bravo M
55 V. Bak M
10 Cho Gue-Sung F
58 A. Simsir F
74 Junior Brumado F
Bench (9)
1 J. Lossl
6 M. Erlic
14 E. Chilufya
17 M. Uhre
8 P. Billing
13 A. Gabriel
21 D. Castillo
39 Junior Ze
38 J. Emefile

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
13 A. Hansen G
2 P. Ankersen D
3 T. Salquist D
36 C. Yirenkyi D
23 R. Norheim D
25 J. Lahteenmaki M
47 M. Heyde M
6 M. Brink M
37 L. Sadio F
10 P. Amoako F
14 I. Adel F
Bench (9)
22 A. Gulstorff Pedersen
39 D. Johannesson
32 V. Gustafsen
40 H. Rasmussen
42 M. Tuka
35 V. Rutkjaer
29 V. Berthelsen
17 L. Nene
43 M. Kone

Coach: Jens Olsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Hansen · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.