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Super League

Referee: C Vergetis

PAOK

U T S S U

3–0

Full-time

Levadeiakos

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Levadeiakos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 54%

65%

42%

Points per game

2,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

54%

65%

Both score Ø 52%

38%

65%

Average goals

2,6

3,5

Scored

2,0

Conceded

0,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,82 xG 0,03

64% Possession 36%

9 Shots 2

3 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

9 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 3. · Levadeiakos 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	27	18	7	2	+35	+9.6	61
2	AEK	26	18	6	2	+30	+7.8	60
3	PAOK	26	17	7	2	+35	+7.0	58
4	Panathinaikos	26	14	7	5	+19	+5.4	49
5	Levadeiakos	26	11	8	7	+16	-5.9	41
6	OFI Crete	26	10	2	14	-10	-7.8	32
7	Aris Thessalonikis	25	6	12	7	-5	-2.8	30
8	Aris	25	6	12	7	-5	–	30
9	Atromitos	26	7	8	11	-4	-1.1	29
10	Volos NFC	27	8	5	14	-15	+1.7	29
11	Kifisia	27	6	10	11	-8	-0.8	28
12	Panetolikos	26	8	3	15	-13	-2.2	27
13	Larisa	27	5	10	12	-17	-2.9	25
14	Asteras Tripolis	27	3	9	15	-19	-3.6	18
15	Panserraikos	27	4	6	17	-39	-4.5	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	13	11	2	0	+23	+2.8	35
2	AEK	13	11	1	1	+18	+4.8	34
3	Olympiakos	13	10	2	1	+20	+2.6	32
4	Panathinaikos	13	9	3	1	+17	+2.6	30
5	Levadeiakos	13	7	3	3	+16	-4.0	24
6	OFI Crete	14	7	0	7	+6	-3.8	21
7	Volos NFC	13	4	5	4	-4	+2.9	17
8	Kifisia	14	4	4	6	-2	+0.3	16
9	Aris Thessalonikis	12	2	9	1	+1	+1.7	15
10	Aris	12	2	9	1	+1	–	15
11	Larisa	14	3	6	5	-8	+0.2	15
12	Panetolikos	13	4	0	9	-9	+0.4	12
13	Panserraikos	14	3	3	8	-16	-4.0	12
14	Asteras Tripolis	13	2	5	6	-3	-0.2	11
15	Atromitos	13	2	4	7	-5	+0.6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	8	5	1	+15	+7.0	29
2	AEK	13	7	5	1	+12	+3.1	26
3	PAOK	13	6	5	2	+12	+4.2	23
4	Panathinaikos	13	5	4	4	+2	+2.8	19
5	Atromitos	13	5	4	4	+1	-1.7	19
6	Levadeiakos	13	4	5	4	+0	-1.9	17
7	Panetolikos	13	4	3	6	-4	-2.6	15
8	Aris Thessalonikis	13	4	3	6	-6	-4.5	15
9	Aris	13	4	3	6	-6	–	15
10	Kifisia	13	2	6	5	-6	-1.1	12
11	Volos NFC	14	4	0	10	-11	-1.3	12
12	OFI Crete	12	3	2	7	-16	-4.0	11
13	Larisa	13	2	4	7	-9	-3.1	10
14	Asteras Tripolis	14	1	4	9	-16	-3.3	7
15	Panserraikos	13	1	3	9	-23	-0.5	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.