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LaLiga2

Referee: J A Gonzalez Esteban

Sp Gijon

S U U U T

4–1

Full-time

Castellon

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Castellon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,3

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 45%

41%

48%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

48%

Both score Ø 54%

55%

52%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,72 xG 1,99

41% Possession 59%

12 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sp Gijon 10. · Castellon 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	30	18	5	7	+22	-2.5	59
2	Almeria	30	15	7	8	+14	+2.2	52
3	La Coruna	30	15	7	8	+12	+2.4	52
4	Malaga	30	15	6	9	+12	+2.6	51
5	Castellon	29	14	7	8	+15	+3.5	49
6	Las Palmas	29	12	12	5	+16	+2.8	48
7	Burgos	30	13	8	9	+6	+2.9	47
8	Ceuta	30	13	5	12	-8	-7.8	44
9	Eibar	30	11	9	10	+2	+4.9	42
10	Sp Gijon	29	12	6	11	+1	+1.4	42
11	Cordoba	30	11	8	11	-2	+3.4	41
12	Sociedad B	30	11	7	12	+3	-6.2	40
13	Andorra	30	10	9	11	-4	+2.7	39
14	Cadiz	30	10	8	12	-5	-4.7	38
15	Granada	30	8	12	10	+1	+0.7	36
16	Albacete	29	9	9	11	-6	+1.8	36
17	Valladolid	30	9	9	12	-8	+2.5	36
18	Leganes	30	8	10	12	-1	+3.2	34
19	Huesca	30	8	7	15	-13	+0.1	31
20	Zaragoza	30	7	9	14	-15	-1.9	30
21	Cultural Leonesa	30	7	6	17	-21	-9.6	27
22	Mirandes	30	6	6	18	-21	-4.3	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malaga	16	10	5	1	+16	+3.1	35
2	Eibar	16	10	4	2	+14	+7.9	34
3	Santander	15	10	2	3	+16	+0.2	32
4	Almeria	15	10	2	3	+14	+3.8	32
5	Ceuta	15	10	1	4	+6	+0.1	31
6	Castellon	14	9	2	3	+12	+0.8	29
7	Las Palmas	15	7	5	3	+12	+3.2	26
8	Sociedad B	15	7	5	3	+7	-2.7	26
9	Burgos	15	7	5	3	+7	+4.6	26
10	Sp Gijon	15	7	5	3	+5	+2.2	26
11	Huesca	15	6	5	4	+2	+1.1	23
12	La Coruna	14	6	4	4	+3	+1.4	22
13	Cordoba	15	6	3	6	-2	+1.1	21
14	Granada	16	4	8	4	+4	+3.0	20
15	Andorra	14	5	5	4	+1	+2.8	20
16	Cadiz	15	6	2	7	-2	+0.5	20
17	Valladolid	15	5	4	6	-1	+4.4	19
18	Albacete	14	5	3	6	-5	-0.4	18
19	Leganes	14	4	4	6	+0	+5.4	16
20	Zaragoza	15	3	5	7	-9	+1.2	14
21	Mirandes	15	3	3	9	-12	-1.3	12
22	Cultural Leonesa	15	2	4	9	-12	+1.5	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	16	9	3	4	+9	+1.0	30
2	Santander	15	8	3	4	+6	-2.7	27
3	Las Palmas	14	5	7	2	+4	-0.3	22
4	Burgos	15	6	3	6	-1	-1.7	21
5	Castellon	15	5	5	5	+3	+2.6	20
6	Cordoba	15	5	5	5	+0	+2.3	20
7	Almeria	15	5	5	5	+0	-1.6	20
8	Andorra	16	5	4	7	-5	-0.1	19
9	Leganes	16	4	6	6	-1	-2.2	18
10	Albacete	15	4	6	5	-1	+2.2	18
11	Cadiz	15	4	6	5	-3	-5.2	18
12	Valladolid	15	4	5	6	-7	-1.9	17
13	Cultural Leonesa	15	5	2	8	-9	-11.1	17
14	Granada	14	4	4	6	-3	-2.3	16
15	Sp Gijon	14	5	1	8	-4	-0.9	16
16	Malaga	14	5	1	8	-4	-0.5	16
17	Zaragoza	15	4	4	7	-6	-3.2	16
18	Sociedad B	15	4	2	9	-4	-3.6	14
19	Ceuta	15	3	4	8	-14	-7.9	13
20	Mirandes	15	3	3	9	-9	-3.1	12
21	Eibar	14	1	5	8	-12	-3.0	8
22	Huesca	15	2	2	11	-15	-1.0	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.