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LaLiga2
Referee: A Moreno
Eibar
U S T S S
0–0
Full-time
Burgos
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 42%
38%
45%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
45%
34%
Both score Ø 45%
48%
41%
Average goals
2,1
2,0
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,35 xG 0,16
64% Possession 36%
6 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 10. · Burgos 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 30 18 5 7 +22 -2.5 59
2 Almeria 30 15 7 8 +14 +2.2 52
3 La Coruna 30 15 7 8 +12 +2.4 52
4 Castellon 29 14 7 8 +15 +3.5 49
5 Las Palmas 29 12 12 5 +16 +2.8 48
6 Malaga 29 14 6 9 +10 +1.2 48
7 Burgos 29 13 7 9 +6 +3.1 46
8 Ceuta 30 13 5 12 -8 -7.8 44
9 Sp Gijon 29 12 6 11 +1 +1.4 42
10 Eibar 29 11 8 10 +2 +4.7 41
11 Cordoba 30 11 8 11 -2 +3.4 41
12 Sociedad B 30 11 7 12 +3 -6.2 40
13 Andorra 30 10 9 11 -4 +2.7 39
14 Cadiz 30 10 8 12 -5 -4.7 38
15 Granada 30 8 12 10 +1 +0.7 36
16 Albacete 29 9 9 11 -6 +1.8 36
17 Valladolid 30 9 9 12 -8 +2.5 36
18 Leganes 30 8 10 12 -1 +3.2 34
19 Huesca 29 8 7 14 -11 +1.5 31
20 Zaragoza 30 7 9 14 -15 -1.9 30
21 Cultural Leonesa 30 7 6 17 -21 -9.6 27
22 Mirandes 30 6 6 18 -21 -4.3 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,98
U ✓
2,93
B
4,07
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,80
U2,5 ✓
1,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Moreno · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.