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Europa League
Referee: Rade Obrenovič
Nott'm Forest
S T T T U
0–1
Full-time
Midtjylland
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 10/14 matches
Win Ø 65%
50%
79%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
70%
57%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,9
2,3
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,72 xG 0,69
58% Possession 42%
22 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Oct -25 Nott'm Forest – Midtjylland 2–3

Match report

Nott'm Forest Midtjylland
N. Milenkovic 🔁
↦ Cunha
9′
Morato 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–0
N. Williams 🔁
↦ Morato
46′
46′
🔁 V. Byskov
↦ D. Castillo
57′
🔁 Cho Gue-Sung
↦ Junior Brumado
57′
🔁 M. Uhre
↦ A. Simsir
59′
🔁 Lee Han-Beom
↦ K. Mbabu
I. Sangare 🔁
↦ N. Dominguez
69′
L. Lucca 🔁
↦ Igor Jesus
69′
80′
⚽ Cho Gue-Sung 0–1
O. Diao
D. Bakwa 🔁
↦ O. Aina
82′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

3-4-2-1
26 M. Sels G
23 Cunha D
5 Murillo D
4 Morato D
34 O. Aina M
8 E. Anderson M
16 N. Dominguez M
7 C. Hudson-Odoi M
21 O. Hutchinson F
10 M. Gibbs-White F
19 Igor Jesus F
Bench (10)
18 A. Gunn
67 K. Willows
6 I. Sangare
31 N. Milenkovic
22 R. Yates
29 D. Bakwa
3 N. Williams
24 J. McAtee
20 L. Lucca
44 Z. Abbott

Coach: Vitor Pereira

Midtjylland

3-5-2
16 E. Olafsson G
4 O. Diao D
6 M. Erlic D
22 M. Bech Sorensen D
43 K. Mbabu M
21 D. Castillo M
8 P. Billing M
19 P. Bravo M
55 V. Bak M
74 Junior Brumado F
58 A. Simsir F
Bench (9)
1 J. Lossl
60 M. Ugboh
14 E. Chilufya
10 Cho Gue-Sung
3 Lee Han-Beom
20 V. Byskov
17 M. Uhre
13 A. Gabriel
39 Junior Ze

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.