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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Braun
Schalke 04
U S S U S
2–2
Full-time
Hannover
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 56%
60%
52%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
44%
76%
Both score Ø 52%
44%
60%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,85 xG 2,30
36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 1. · Hannover 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Schalke 04 25 15 5 5 +14 +11.4 50
2 Darmstadt 26 13 10 3 +19 +7.7 49
3 Elversberg 26 14 6 6 +16 +2.9 48
4 Paderborn 26 14 6 6 +13 +11.7 48
5 Hannover 25 13 6 6 +11 +12.0 45
6 Hertha 26 11 8 7 +6 -4.0 41
7 Kaiserslautern 25 11 4 10 +4 -2.1 37
8 Karlsruhe 25 9 7 9 -7 -15.4 34
9 Bochum 26 8 9 9 +3 +5.6 33
10 Nurnberg 26 9 6 11 -3 -2.3 33
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 26 9 4 13 -11 -1.9 31
12 Braunschweig 26 8 5 13 -14 -0.4 29
13 Greuther Furth 26 8 5 13 -17 -9.9 29
14 Bielefeld 26 7 7 12 +2 +1.9 28
15 Dresden 25 6 8 11 -6 -1.6 26
16 Preußen Münster 25 6 8 11 -8 -10.0 26
17 Holstein Kiel 26 6 7 13 -9 -12.0 25
18 Magdeburg 26 7 3 16 -13 +6.3 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Hannover
1–0 E. Dzeko
K. Karaman
29′
2–0 K. Karaman
S. El-Faouzi
38′
41′
🟨 Maurice Neubauer
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 H. Chakroun
↦ E. Saad
46′
🔁 M. Bundu
↦ D. Yokota
Edin Džeko 🟥
52′
M. Ayhan 🔁
↦ A. Aouchiche
56′
60′
🔁 W. Taibi
↦ K. Oudenne
60′
🔁 H. Matsuda
↦ S. T. Thordarson
Ron Schallenberg 🟨
63′
J. Bachmann 🔁
↦ D. Ljubicic
71′
M. Sylla 🔁
↦ K. Karaman
71′
75′
🟨 Maik Nawrocki
77′
🔁 B. Pichler
↦ M. Neubauer
82′
M. Nawrocki 2–1
90′
B. Pichler 2–2
M. Bundu
F. Sanchez 🔁
↦ M. N'Diaye
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
1 L. Karius G
5 T. Becker D
25 N. Katic D
4 H. Kurucay D
16 M. N'Diaye D
23 S. El-Faouzi M
6 R. Schallenberg M
21 D. Ljubicic M
19 K. Karaman M
24 A. Aouchiche M
10 E. Dzeko F
Bench (9)
22 K. Muller
14 J. Bachmann
9 M. Sylla
2 F. Sanchez
37 M. Gruger
47 Z. Amoussou-Tchibara
7 C. Gomis
43 M. Ayhan
35 M. Wallentowitz

Coach: Miron Muslic

Hannover

3-3-1-3
1 N. Noll G
17 B. Allgeier D
8 E. Leopold D
6 M. Nawrocki D
33 M. Neubauer M
23 S. T. Thordarson M
29 K. Oudenne M
15 N. Aseko-Nkili M
18 D. Yokota F
9 B. Kallman F
24 E. Saad F
Bench (9)
30 L. Weinkauf
5 V. Ghita
20 I. Okon
14 H. Chakroun
7 M. Bundu
11 B. Pichler
19 W. Kokolo
26 W. Taibi
27 H. Matsuda

Coach: Christian Titz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,32
U ✓
3,41
B
2,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
1,98
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Braun · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.