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Superligaen

Referee: M Kristoffersen

Odense

S S S T T

1–4

Full-time

Midtjylland

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Odense Midtjylland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 48%

37%

58%

Points per game

1,4

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

79%

63%

Both score Ø 74%

84%

63%

Average goals

3,8

Scored

1,7

2,6

Conceded

2,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

2,49 xG 3,55

46% Possession 54%

11 Shots 18

6 Shots on target 10

2 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Odense 8. · Midtjylland 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	20	13	5	2	+19	+16.4	44
2	Midtjylland	19	11	6	2	+28	+5.1	39
3	Brondby	19	10	2	7	+10	+9.2	32
4	Nordsjaelland	20	10	0	10	-1	-1.3	30
5	Sonderjyske	19	8	5	6	+4	-2.7	29
6	FC Copenhagen	20	8	4	8	+2	+13.7	28
7	Viborg	19	8	3	8	+3	-2.8	27
8	Odense	19	7	5	7	-6	+3.3	26
9	Randers FC	20	6	5	9	-5	+3.8	23
10	Silkeborg	19	5	4	10	-15	-13.5	19
11	Fredericia	20	5	3	12	-21	-19.2	18
12	Vejle	20	3	4	13	-18	-12.1	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	10	7	3	0	+20	+8.0	24
2	Aarhus	10	7	1	2	+9	+15.3	22
3	Nordsjaelland	10	6	0	4	+8	+5.4	18
4	Sonderjyske	9	5	2	2	+6	+0.8	17
5	Brondby	10	5	2	3	+5	+5.1	17
6	Odense	9	4	2	3	-1	+5.4	14
7	Randers FC	10	4	2	4	-2	+0.6	14
8	Viborg	9	4	1	4	+2	-3.5	13
9	FC Copenhagen	10	3	4	3	+0	+9.3	13
10	Vejle	10	3	2	5	-1	-2.8	11
11	Silkeborg	10	3	2	5	-4	-2.2	11
12	Fredericia	10	2	2	6	-12	-8.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	10	6	4	0	+10	+1.1	22
2	Midtjylland	9	4	3	2	+8	-3.0	15
3	Brondby	9	5	0	4	+5	+4.2	15
4	FC Copenhagen	10	5	0	5	+2	+4.3	15
5	Viborg	10	4	2	4	+1	+0.7	14
6	Sonderjyske	10	3	3	4	-2	-3.5	12
7	Odense	10	3	3	4	-5	-2.0	12
8	Nordsjaelland	10	4	0	6	-9	-6.7	12
9	Fredericia	10	3	1	6	-9	-10.9	10
10	Randers FC	10	2	3	5	-3	+3.3	9
11	Silkeborg	9	2	2	5	-11	-11.3	8
12	Vejle	10	0	2	8	-17	-9.2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.