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Eliteserien
Referee: Espen Eskas
Aalesund
S S S T S
1–3
Full-time
Lillestrom
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,7
Scored
2,5
3,2
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+2,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,94 xG 2,43
40% Possession 60%
14 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Aug -25 Lillestrom – Aalesund 5–1 31. Mar -25 Aalesund – Lillestrom 2–2 3. Sep -23 Aalesund – Lillestrom 1–1 19. Jul -23 Lillestrom – Aalesund 5–1 6. Nov -22 Aalesund – Lillestrom 2–1

Match report

Aalesund Lillestrom
1–0 K. Lonebu ⚽
J. Orsahl
6′
Kristian Lonebu ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
8′
18′
⚽ Felix Va 1–1
Half-time 1–2
58′
⚽ T. Olsen 1–2
O. Gudmundsson 🔁
↦ J. Orsahl
61′
M. Reed 🔁
↦ I. Djantou
61′
62′
🟨 Felix Vá
D. Johannsson 🔁
↦ H. Melland
73′
Emil Engqvist 🟨
75′
76′
🔁 C. Jebara
↦ Felix Va
76′
🔁 G. Nyheim
↦ M. Karlsbakk
78′
❌ Thomas Lehne Olsen
penalty missed
79′
⚽ T. Olsen 1–3
E. Osenbroch 🔁
↦ H. Hammer
80′
E. Myrlid 🔁
↦ K. Lonebu
80′
81′
🔁 U. Jenssen
↦ E. B. Garnas
92′
🔁 H. Woxen
↦ E. Kitolano
92′
🔁 K. Arierhi
↦ T. Olsen
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Aalesund

5-3-2
1 K. Klaesson G
7 K. Nesso D
5 A. Kjelsen
45 P. Aukland D
22 E. Engqvist D
16 J. Orsahl
21 M. Christensen M
8 H. Melland M
6 H. Hammer
20 I. Djantou F
39 K. Lonebu F
Bench (9)
26 T. Larsen
3 O. Gudmundsson
11 D. Johannsson
25 U. Syversen
2 M. Andresen
15 E. Osenbroch
4 S. Haram
17 E. Myrlid
27 M. Reed

Coach: Kjetil-Andre Rekdal

Lillestrom

4-3-3
12 P. Dahlberg G
2 L. Ranger D
4 E. B. Garnas D
5 S. Foss D
3 S. Ottesen D
8 M. Karlsbakk M
29 Y. Ibrahimaj M
17 E. Kitolano M
15 S. Drammeh F
10 T. Olsen F
20 Felix Va F
Bench (9)
1 S. Hagerup
22 J. Kitolano
23 U. Jenssen
19 C. Jebara
6 H. Woxen
9 K. Arierhi
18 K. Krygard
14 G. Nyheim
7 L. Alperud

Coach: Hans Odegaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.