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Süper Lig
Referee: A D Kayatepe
Samsunspor
U S U T T
2–1
Full-time
Kayserispor
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Kayserispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 20%
28%
12%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
40%
48%
Both score Ø 54%
56%
52%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,10 xG 0,74
67% Possession 33%
18 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Samsunspor 9. · Kayserispor 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 26 20 4 2 +44 +28.9 64
2 Fenerbahce 26 16 9 1 +30 +26.0 57
3 Trabzonspor 26 17 6 3 +23 +7.0 57
4 Besiktas 25 13 7 5 +15 +22.6 46
5 Goztep 26 11 10 5 +10 +5.3 43
6 Buyuksehyr 26 12 6 8 +14 +3.2 42
7 Kocaelispor 26 9 6 11 -4 -1.9 33
8 Gaziantep 26 8 9 9 -7 -2.1 33
9 Samsunspor 25 7 11 7 -3 +6.2 32
10 Rizespor 26 7 9 10 -4 -0.1 30
11 Alanyaspor 26 5 13 8 -4 -8.6 28
12 Konyaspor 26 6 9 11 -9 -3.1 27
13 Genclerbirligi 25 6 7 12 -6 -12.1 25
14 Kasimpasa 26 5 9 12 -14 -11.2 24
15 Antalyaspor 26 6 6 14 -18 -20.7 24
16 Eyüpspor 26 5 7 14 -18 -15.1 22
17 Kayserispor 25 3 11 11 -27 -12.3 20
18 Karagumruk 26 4 5 17 -22 -12.0 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Samsunspor Kayserispor
A. Makoumbou 🔁
↦ O. Ntcham
4′
1–0 A. Makoumbou
E. Tavsan
31′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 F. Chalov
↦ D. Makarov
46′
🔁 J. Mendes
↦ T. Sariarslan
46′
T. Borevkovic 2–0
own goal
64′
🔁 I. Tuci
↦ G. Onugkha
E. Kilinc 🔁
↦ Y. Kayan
73′
T. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ E. Tavsan
73′
J. Mendes 🔁
↦ Z. Yavru
73′
Logi Tomasson 🟨
74′
77′
🔁 G. Saglam
↦ L. Benes
3–0 L. Tomasson
J. Mendes
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Samsunspor

4-2-3-1
71 I. Egribayat G
18 Z. Yavru D
24 T. Borevkovic D
37 L. Satka D
17 L. Tomasson D
5 C. Yuksel M
10 O. Ntcham M
7 E. Tavsan M
20 Y. Kayan M
21 C. Holse M
9 Marius F
Bench (9)
48 E. B. Toruz
1 O. Kocuk
11 E. Kilinc
28 S. Gonul
29 A. Makoumbou
70 T. Coulibaly
2 J. Mendes
23 E. Albak
15 A. B. Diabbate

Coach: Thorsten Fink

Kayserispor

4-4-2
25 B. Bayazit G
30 J. Brenet D
6 S. Guler D
4 S. Denswil D
28 R. Civelek D
18 D. Makarov M
33 F. Soyalp M
8 L. Benes M
7 M. Cardoso M
9 G. Onugkha F
99 T. Sariarslan F
Bench (10)
1 O. Piri
20 C. Mane
61 G. Saglam
17 B. Kapacak
22 I. Tuci
2 J. Katongo
23 L. Carole
63 F. Chalov
10 J. Mendes
11 S. Mather

Coach: Radomir Djalovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,89
U
3,38
B
3,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A D Kayatepe · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.