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Serie A
Referee: K Bonacina
Sassuolo
T S S S T
0–1
Full-time
Bologna
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 39%
39%
39%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
57%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,49 xG 1,00
55% Possession 45%
9 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 9. · Bologna 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 29 22 2 5 +42 +35.0 68
2 Milan 28 17 9 2 +24 +16.6 60
3 Napoli 29 18 5 6 +15 +9.1 59
4 Juventus 29 15 8 6 +23 +27.7 53
5 Como 28 14 9 5 +25 +19.8 51
6 Roma 28 16 3 9 +17 +8.2 51
7 Atalanta 29 12 11 6 +13 +11.4 47
8 Bologna 28 11 6 11 +3 -0.2 39
9 Sassuolo 28 11 5 12 -3 -11.1 38
10 Lazio 28 9 10 9 +0 -6.1 37
11 Udinese 29 10 6 13 -9 -10.1 36
12 Parma 29 8 10 11 -15 -17.4 34
13 Genoa 29 8 9 12 -4 +0.6 33
14 Torino 29 9 6 14 -18 -9.1 33
15 Cagliari 28 7 9 12 -8 -13.6 30
16 Lecce 29 7 6 16 -18 -19.9 27
17 Fiorentina 28 5 10 13 -12 +5.6 25
18 Cremonese 28 5 9 14 -18 -19.4 24
19 Verona 29 3 9 17 -29 -9.0 18
20 Pisa 28 1 12 15 -28 -17.9 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Bologna
6′
T. Dallinga 0–1
24′
🟨 Thijs Dallinga
28′
🔁 N. Zortea
↦ L. De Silvestri
Half-time 0–1
C. Volpato 🔁
↦ N. Matic
59′
M. Nzola 🔁
↦ A. Pinamonti
59′
63′
🔁 R. Freuler
↦ N. Moro
64′
🔁 S. Castro
↦ T. Dallinga
J. Doig 🔁
↦ U. Garcia
75′
A. Vranckx 🔁
↦ I. Kone
75′
M'Bala Nzola 🟨
77′
82′
🔁 F. Bernardeschi
↦ J. Odgaard
83′
🔁 T. Pobega
↦ S. Sohm
D. Bakola 🔁
↦ D. Berardi
86′
96′
🟨 Nadir Zortea
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-3-3
49 A. Muric G
6 S. Walukiewicz D
21 J. Idzes D
80 T. Muharemovic D
23 U. Garcia D
90 I. Kone M
18 N. Matic M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
10 D. Berardi F
99 A. Pinamonti F
45 A. Lauriente F
Bench (14)
13 S. Turati
12 G. Satalino
16 G. Zacchi
24 L. Moro
25 W. Coulibaly
7 C. Volpato
35 L. Lipani
66 Pedro Felipe
50 D. Bakola
19 F. Romagna
8 M. Nzola
3 J. Doig
40 A. Vranckx
44 E. Iannoni

Coach: Fabio Grosso

Bologna

4-2-3-1
1 L. Skorupski G
29 L. De Silvestri D
41 M. Vitik D
26 J. Lucumi D
33 J. Miranda D
23 S. Sohm M
6 N. Moro M
7 R. Orsolini M
21 J. Odgaard M
28 N. Cambiaghi M
24 T. Dallinga F
Bench (14)
13 F. Ravaglia
25 M. Pessina
10 F. Bernardeschi
14 T. Heggem
20 N. Zortea
11 J. Rowe
9 S. Castro
30 B. Dominguez
5 E. Fauske Helland
22 C. Lykogiannis
8 R. Freuler
4 T. Pobega
16 N. Casale
17 Joao Mario

Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,47
U
3,23
B ✓
2,84
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Bonacina · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.