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Super League

Referee: A Evangelou

Atromitos

U S S U U

2–2

Full-time

AEK

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atromitos AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

1,5

2,8

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

0,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 48%

27%

69%

Points per game

1,1

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

42%

35%

Both score Ø 39%

42%

35%

Average goals

2,1

2,4

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,1

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,78 xG 1,27

36% Possession 64%

12 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 7

2 Offside 3

20 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atromitos 9. · AEK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	27	18	7	2	+38	+8.8	61
2	Olympiakos	27	18	7	2	+35	+9.6	61
3	AEK	26	18	6	2	+30	+7.8	60
4	Panathinaikos	26	14	7	5	+19	+5.4	49
5	Levadeiakos	27	11	8	8	+13	-7.7	41
6	OFI Crete	26	10	2	14	-10	-7.8	32
7	Aris Thessalonikis	25	6	12	7	-5	-2.8	30
8	Aris	25	6	12	7	-5	–	30
9	Atromitos	26	7	8	11	-4	-1.1	29
10	Volos NFC	27	8	5	14	-15	+1.7	29
11	Kifisia	27	6	10	11	-8	-0.8	28
12	Panetolikos	26	8	3	15	-13	-2.2	27
13	Larisa	27	5	10	12	-17	-2.9	25
14	Asteras Tripolis	27	3	9	15	-19	-3.6	18
15	Panserraikos	27	4	6	17	-39	-4.5	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	14	12	2	0	+26	+4.6	38
2	AEK	13	11	1	1	+18	+4.8	34
3	Olympiakos	13	10	2	1	+20	+2.6	32
4	Panathinaikos	13	9	3	1	+17	+2.6	30
5	Levadeiakos	13	7	3	3	+16	-4.0	24
6	OFI Crete	14	7	0	7	+6	-3.8	21
7	Volos NFC	13	4	5	4	-4	+2.9	17
8	Kifisia	14	4	4	6	-2	+0.3	16
9	Aris Thessalonikis	12	2	9	1	+1	+1.7	15
10	Aris	12	2	9	1	+1	–	15
11	Larisa	14	3	6	5	-8	+0.2	15
12	Panetolikos	13	4	0	9	-9	+0.4	12
13	Panserraikos	14	3	3	8	-16	-4.0	12
14	Asteras Tripolis	13	2	5	6	-3	-0.2	11
15	Atromitos	13	2	4	7	-5	+0.6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	8	5	1	+15	+7.0	29
2	AEK	13	7	5	1	+12	+3.1	26
3	PAOK	13	6	5	2	+12	+4.2	23
4	Panathinaikos	13	5	4	4	+2	+2.8	19
5	Atromitos	13	5	4	4	+1	-1.7	19
6	Levadeiakos	14	4	5	5	-3	-3.7	17
7	Panetolikos	13	4	3	6	-4	-2.6	15
8	Aris Thessalonikis	13	4	3	6	-6	-4.5	15
9	Aris	13	4	3	6	-6	–	15
10	Kifisia	13	2	6	5	-6	-1.1	12
11	Volos NFC	14	4	0	10	-11	-1.3	12
12	OFI Crete	12	3	2	7	-16	-4.0	11
13	Larisa	13	2	4	7	-9	-3.1	10
14	Asteras Tripolis	14	1	4	9	-16	-3.3	7
15	Panserraikos	13	1	3	9	-23	-0.5	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.