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Superligaen
Referee: L Graagaard
Midtjylland
U S S T T
6–0
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 50%
56%
44%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
56%
63%
Both score Ø 54%
63%
44%
Average goals
3,6
3,1
Scored
2,4
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

3,28 xG 0,31
58% Possession 42%
15 Shots 4
9 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 1
4 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Midtjylland 2. · Nordsjaelland 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Aarhus 17 11 4 2 +17 +14.5 37
2 Midtjylland 16 9 5 2 +21 +1.5 32
3 Brondby 16 10 1 5 +13 +8.7 31
4 FC Copenhagen 17 8 4 5 +6 +13.4 28
5 Sonderjyske 17 7 5 5 +3 -1.9 26
6 Viborg 17 7 2 8 +2 -2.2 23
7 Nordsjaelland 16 7 0 9 -2 -0.7 21
8 Odense 16 5 5 6 -10 +3.4 20
9 Randers FC 17 5 4 8 -6 +2.1 19
10 Silkeborg 17 5 4 8 -9 -11.7 19
11 Fredericia 16 3 2 11 -22 -16.2 11
12 Vejle 16 2 4 10 -13 -11.0 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Graagaard · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.