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Superligaen
Referee: S Rasmussen
Vejle
T S U T T
3–2
Full-time
Aarhus
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vejle Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 27%
10%
43%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
67%
43%
Both score Ø 62%
62%
62%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 10
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vejle 12. · Aarhus 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 21 13 3 5 +13 +4.5 42
2 FC Copenhagen 21 11 8 2 +15 +11.7 41
3 Aarhus 21 9 9 3 +20 +9.8 36
4 Randers FC 21 9 8 4 +13 +10.6 35
5 Nordsjaelland 21 10 5 6 +4 +7.1 35
6 Brondby 21 8 8 5 +10 +6.7 32
7 Silkeborg 21 8 8 5 +9 +4.0 32
8 Viborg 21 6 7 8 -2 -8.1 25
9 Aalborg 21 4 6 11 -21 -17.9 18
10 Sonderjyske 21 4 5 12 -22 -14.4 17
11 Lyngby 21 2 9 10 -12 -6.0 15
12 Vejle 21 2 4 15 -27 -8.1 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vejle Aarhus
31′
Y. Badji 0–1
E. Kahl
1–1 G. Onugkha
C. Gammelgaard
42′
2–1 T. Gundelund
44′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 T. Mølgaard
↦ H. Dalsgaard
46′
🔁 N. Poulsen
↦ F. Beijmo
H. Barry 🔁
↦ C. Gammelgaard
59′
61′
🟨 Kristian Arnstad
66′
🔁 M. Power
↦ M. Madsen
Kristian Kirkegaard 🟨
70′
73′
🔁 T. Bech
↦ Y. Badji
A. Jacobsen 🔁
↦ D. Emmanouilidis
74′
M. Elvius 🔁
↦ L. Flø
74′
3–1 G. Onugkha
H. Barry
81′
Damian van Bruggen 🟨
83′
83′
🟨 Mikael Anderson
88′
🔁 T. Bach
↦ K. Arnstad
89′
P. Mortensen 3–2
R. Jensen 🔁
↦ K. Kirkegaard
92′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Vejle

4-3-3
1 I. Vekić G
23 L. Flø D
13 S. Velkov D
14 D. van Bruggen D
38 D. Čolina D
2 T. Gundelund M
10 K. Kirkegaard M
34 L. Hetemi M
37 C. Gammelgaard F
45 G. Onugkha F
17 D. Emmanouilidis F
Bench (9)
5 H. Barry
18 A. Jacobsen
59 M. Elvius
29 R. Jensen
25 L. Hujber
7 Y. N'Gbakoto
24 T. Jakobsen
26 S. Ravn
11 M. Juwara

Coach: S. Kielstrup

Aarhus

3-5-2
1 J. Hansen G
3 H. Dalsgaard D
5 F. Tingager D
19 E. Kahl D
2 F. Beijmo M
8 M. Anderson M
10 K. Arnstad
7 M. Madsen M
11 G. Links M
15 Y. Badji F
9 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
14 T. Mølgaard
6 N. Poulsen
16 M. Power
31 T. Bech
23 T. Bach
22 L. Wahlstedt
29 F. Brandhof
30 M. Sauer
40 J. Jensen-Abbew

Coach: U. Rösler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Rasmussen · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.