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Superligaen
Aarhus
T U S S S
3–0
Full-time
Aalborg
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Aalborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,7
This season — Superligaen · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
38%
38%
Average goals
1,9
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,9
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aarhus 6. · Aalborg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Midtjylland 8 7 1 0 +9 22
2 FC Copenhagen 8 7 0 1 +9 21
3 Aalborg 8 4 1 3 +8 13
4 Nordsjaelland 8 4 1 3 +3 13
5 Brondby 8 4 1 3 +2 13
6 Aarhus 8 3 2 3 +3 11
7 Sonderjyske 9 2 5 2 +1 11
8 Odense 8 3 2 3 +1 11
9 Horsens 9 3 1 5 -9 10
10 Lyngby 8 3 0 5 -5 9
11 Randers FC 8 2 2 4 -1 8
12 Hobro 8 1 5 2 -2 8
13 Esbjerg 8 1 2 5 -8 5
14 Silkeborg 8 0 3 5 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.