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Superligaen

Aarhus

T T U S S

1–0

Full-time

Esbjerg

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Esbjerg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

This season — Superligaen · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 22%

29%

14%

Points per game

1,1

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

43%

29%

Both score Ø 36%

43%

29%

Average goals

2,0

2,1

Scored

1,1

0,6

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aarhus 9. · Esbjerg 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	7	7	0	0	+10	21
2	Midtjylland	7	6	1	0	+8	19
3	Nordsjaelland	8	4	1	3	+3	13
4	Brondby	7	4	1	2	+3	13
5	Odense	8	3	2	3	+1	11
6	Aalborg	7	3	1	3	+7	10
7	Sonderjyske	8	2	4	2	+1	10
8	Lyngby	7	3	0	4	-4	9
9	Aarhus	7	2	2	3	+2	8
10	Hobro	8	1	5	2	-2	8
11	Horsens	7	2	0	5	-10	6
12	Randers FC	7	1	2	4	-3	5
13	Esbjerg	7	1	2	4	-7	5
14	Silkeborg	7	0	3	4	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nordsjaelland	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Midtjylland	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	FC Copenhagen	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Lyngby	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Brondby	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	Aalborg	3	2	1	0	+6	7
7	Odense	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Esbjerg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Randers FC	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Sonderjyske	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Aarhus	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Hobro	4	0	3	1	-2	3
13	Silkeborg	3	0	1	2	-4	1
14	Horsens	4	0	0	4	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Midtjylland	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Sonderjyske	4	1	3	0	+3	6
4	Horsens	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Aarhus	5	1	2	2	+1	5
6	Hobro	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Brondby	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Odense	4	1	1	2	-2	4
9	Aalborg	4	1	0	3	+1	3
10	Nordsjaelland	4	1	0	3	-2	3
11	Silkeborg	4	0	2	2	-5	2
12	Randers FC	4	0	1	3	-4	1
13	Lyngby	3	0	0	3	-6	0
14	Esbjerg	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.