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LaLiga2
Referee: Daniel Palencia
Almeria
T U U U T
4–1
Full-time
Zaragoza
T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
30%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 68%
73%
63%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 3
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Almeria 7. · Zaragoza 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elche 31 15 9 7 +16 54
2 Mirandes 30 16 6 8 +16 54
3 Levante 30 14 11 5 +17 53
4 Santander 30 15 8 7 +13 53
5 Huesca 30 14 9 7 +16 51
6 Oviedo 31 14 9 8 +6 51
7 Almeria 30 12 11 7 +10 47
8 Granada 30 12 10 8 +9 46
9 Cordoba 30 12 7 11 -1 43
10 Burgos 31 12 6 13 -7 42
11 Cadiz 30 10 11 9 +2 41
12 Eibar 31 11 8 12 -2 41
13 La Coruna 30 10 10 10 +4 40
14 Sp Gijon 30 9 13 8 +4 40
15 Albacete 31 10 10 11 -1 40
16 Castellon 30 11 6 13 -1 39
17 Malaga 31 8 15 8 -3 39
18 Zaragoza 30 9 9 12 +1 36
19 Eldense 30 9 7 14 -11 34
20 Ferrol 31 4 11 16 -31 23
21 Tenerife 30 5 7 18 -19 22
22 Cartagena 31 4 3 24 -38 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almeria Zaragoza
Dion Lopy 🟨
2′
1–0 Edgar González
L. Suárez
6′
2–0 L. Suárez
Arnau Puigmal
16′
25′
Edgar González 3–0
own goal
45′
🟨 Marcos Luna
Half-time 3–0
Álex Pozo 🔁
↦ Arnau Puigmal
46′
46′
🔁 Iván Calero
↦ Dani Tasende
4–0 Nico Melamed
L. Suárez
50′
5–0 Marc Pubill
L. Robertone
53′
59′
🔁 Adrian Liso
↦ Marcos Luna
60′
🔁 Raúl Guti
↦ Toni Moya
60′
🔁 S. Baždar
↦ Mario Soberón
Silvi 🔁
↦ L. Robertone
66′
Lázaro 🔁
↦ Nico Melamed
66′
Sergio Arribas 🔁
↦ Gonzalo Melero
78′
80′
🟥 Samed Baždar
M. Perović 🔁
↦ Marc Pubill
87′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 Luís Maximiano G
18 Marc Pubill D
3 Edgar González D
16 A. Radovanović D
24 Bruno Langa D
6 D. Lopy M
8 Gonzalo Melero M
2 Arnau Puigmal M
5 L. Robertone M
10 Nico Melamed M
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (11)
17 Álex Pozo
23 Silvi
7 Lázaro
11 Sergio Arribas
36 M. Perović
20 Álex Centelles
4 Kaiky
13 Fernando Martínez
19 M. Milovanović
27 Gui
38 Pedro Cedillo

Coach: Rubi

Zaragoza

3-5-2
25 Joan Femenías G
15 Bernardo Vital D
3 Jair Amador D
5 Enrique Clemente D
2 Marcos Luna M
14 Francho Serrano M
16 K. Arriaga M
21 Toni Moya M
4 Dani Tasende M
9 Dani Gómez F
7 Mario Soberón F
Bench (12)
19 Iván Calero
33 Adrian Liso
10 Raúl Guti
11 S. Baždar
23 Ager Aketxe
22 Alberto Marí
38 Jaime Vallejo
39 Yussif Saidu
13 G. Poussin
20 Adu Ares
29 Pau Sans
12 S. Kóša

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,64
U
3,92
B
4,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,03
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniel Palencia · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.