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La Liga
Referee: José Munuera
Girona
T T T U U
1–1
Full-time
Valencia
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 28%
33%
22%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
59%
52%
Both score Ø 56%
52%
59%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,93 xG 1,13
56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Girona 13. · Valencia 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 28 18 6 4 +32 +24.1 60
2 Barcelona 26 18 3 5 +46 +33.1 57
3 Ath Madrid 27 16 8 3 +26 +19.7 56
4 Ath Bilbao 27 13 10 4 +21 +16.7 49
5 Villarreal 27 12 8 7 +11 +18.0 44
6 Betis 27 11 8 8 +2 +8.1 41
7 Mallorca 28 11 7 10 -6 +1.7 40
8 Celta 28 11 6 11 +0 +9.2 39
9 Vallecano 27 9 9 9 +0 +2.0 36
10 Sevilla 27 9 9 9 -4 -7.1 36
11 Sociedad 27 10 4 13 -5 -0.4 34
12 Getafe 27 8 9 10 +1 -6.2 33
13 Girona 27 9 6 12 -5 -1.8 33
14 Osasuna 26 7 12 7 -5 -7.7 33
15 Espanol 27 7 7 13 -13 -23.7 28
16 Alaves 28 6 9 13 -10 -3.1 27
17 Valencia 27 6 9 12 -15 -8.2 27
18 Leganes 27 6 9 12 -16 -21.9 27
19 Las Palmas 28 6 7 15 -15 -26.3 25
20 Valladolid 28 4 4 20 -45 -26.1 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,98
U ✓
3,53
B
3,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.