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Süper Lig

Referee: H Meler

Kasimpasa

S T T U T

2–1

Full-time

Alanyaspor

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Alanyaspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,5

2,7

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

2,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 29%

27%

31%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

69%

46%

Both score Ø 62%

69%

54%

Average goals

3,7

2,6

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,50 xG 2,26

45% Possession 55%

11 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kasimpasa 12. · Alanyaspor 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	27	22	5	0	+41	+27.5	71
2	Fenerbahce	25	19	4	2	+40	+31.7	61
3	Samsunspor	26	15	5	6	+14	+10.7	50
4	Besiktas	25	12	8	5	+14	+13.0	44
5	Eyüpspor	26	12	7	7	+11	+0.1	43
6	Gaziantep	26	11	5	10	+1	-6.8	38
7	Goztep	25	10	6	9	+10	+14.2	36
8	Buyuksehyr	25	10	6	9	+7	+6.6	36
9	Rizespor	26	10	3	13	-10	+3.8	33
10	Antalyaspor	27	9	6	12	-21	-16.0	33
11	Trabzonspor	25	8	8	9	+9	-1.3	32
12	Kasimpasa	26	7	11	8	-6	-1.2	32
13	Alanyaspor	26	8	7	11	-8	-1.2	31
14	Konyaspor	26	7	7	12	-8	-8.0	28
15	Sivasspor	26	7	6	13	-11	-15.8	27
16	Bodrumspor	26	7	6	13	-11	-1.4	27
17	Kayserispor	26	6	9	11	-19	-4.8	27
18	Hatayspor	25	3	7	15	-18	-20.5	16
19	Ad. Demirspor	26	2	4	20	-35	-30.6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	14	11	3	0	+21	+19.5	36
2	Fenerbahce	12	11	0	1	+20	+16.9	33
3	Gaziantep	14	9	3	2	+12	+1.5	30
4	Goztep	12	9	2	1	+19	+15.3	29
5	Trabzonspor	13	8	3	2	+17	+5.4	27
6	Eyüpspor	13	8	3	2	+12	+3.6	27
7	Samsunspor	13	8	2	3	+10	+11.9	26
8	Besiktas	13	8	2	3	+7	+9.6	26
9	Buyuksehyr	13	7	4	2	+16	+8.8	25
10	Antalyaspor	13	7	3	3	+0	-2.8	24
11	Alanyaspor	13	6	3	4	+3	+5.9	21
12	Sivasspor	14	5	5	4	+3	-5.5	20
13	Bodrumspor	13	5	3	5	+3	+0.8	18
14	Rizespor	12	5	3	4	+1	+9.2	18
15	Konyaspor	12	4	5	3	+2	+2.6	17
16	Kayserispor	13	4	4	5	-7	-0.5	16
17	Kasimpasa	12	3	5	4	-3	+3.4	14
18	Hatayspor	13	2	5	6	-6	-7.6	11
19	Ad. Demirspor	13	1	2	10	-19	-12.4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	11	2	0	+20	+8.0	35
2	Fenerbahce	13	8	4	1	+20	+14.8	28
3	Samsunspor	13	7	3	3	+4	-1.2	24
4	Besiktas	12	4	6	2	+7	+3.4	18
5	Kasimpasa	14	4	6	4	-3	-4.6	18
6	Eyüpspor	13	4	4	5	-1	-3.4	16
7	Rizespor	14	5	0	9	-11	-5.3	15
8	Buyuksehyr	12	3	2	7	-9	-2.2	11
9	Konyaspor	14	3	2	9	-10	-10.7	11
10	Kayserispor	13	2	5	6	-12	-4.3	11
11	Alanyaspor	13	2	4	7	-11	-7.1	10
12	Bodrumspor	13	2	3	8	-14	-2.2	9
13	Antalyaspor	14	2	3	9	-21	-13.2	9
14	Gaziantep	12	2	2	8	-11	-8.3	8
15	Goztep	13	1	4	8	-9	-1.1	7
16	Sivasspor	12	2	1	9	-14	-10.2	7
17	Trabzonspor	12	0	5	7	-8	-6.7	5
18	Hatayspor	12	1	2	9	-12	-12.9	5
19	Ad. Demirspor	13	1	2	10	-16	-18.3	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.