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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Heft
FC Koln
S T U T S
2–1
Full-time
Darmstadt
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 42%
52%
32%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
52%
64%
Both score Ø 56%
48%
64%
Average goals
2,7
3,4
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
20 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match FC Koln 3. · Darmstadt 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 26 13 9 4 +26 48
2 Paderborn 26 12 9 5 +12 45
3 FC Koln 25 13 5 7 +8 44
4 Kaiserslautern 26 12 7 7 +6 43
5 Magdeburg 26 11 9 6 +12 42
6 Hannover 26 11 9 6 +8 42
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 26 11 8 7 +5 41
8 Elversberg 26 11 7 8 +13 40
9 Nurnberg 25 11 5 9 +4 38
10 Karlsruhe 25 10 6 9 -2 36
11 Schalke 04 26 9 6 11 -3 33
12 Greuther Furth 25 9 6 10 -8 33
13 Darmstadt 25 8 7 10 +3 31
14 Preußen Münster 26 6 8 12 -7 26
15 Hertha 25 7 5 13 -9 26
16 Braunschweig 25 5 8 12 -21 23
17 Ulm 25 3 10 12 -7 19
18 Regensburg 26 4 4 18 -40 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Darmstadt
1–0 J. Thielmann
1′
24′
ℹ️ Fraser Hornby
VAR: Penalty confirmed
25′
F. Hornby 1–1
Half-time 1–1
D. Ljubičić 🔁
↦ F. Kainz
46′
D. Huseinbašić 🔁
↦ S. Tigges
46′
I. Rondić 🔁
↦ M. Olesen
46′
59′
🟨 Fraser Hornby
63′
🔁 J. Boëtius
↦ L. Marseiler
66′
🟨 Fraser Hornby
66′
🟥 Fraser Hornby
Dejan Ljubičić 🟨
68′
T. Lemperle 🔁
↦ J. Gazibegović
69′
Eric Martel ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
79′
80′
🔁 M. Maglica
↦ A. Müller
2–1 L. Waldschmidt
80′
86′
🔁 F. Lakenmacher
↦ Sergio López
M. Uth 🔁
↦ L. Waldschmidt
87′
99′
🟨 Jean-Paul Boëtius
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

FC Koln

3-4-1-2
1 M. Schwäbe G
4 T. Hübers D
6 E. Martel D
3 D. Heintz D
25 J. Gazibegović M
47 M. Olesen M
11 F. Kainz M
35 M. Finkgräfe M
9 L. Waldschmidt F
29 J. Thielmann F
21 S. Tigges F
Bench (9)
7 D. Ljubičić
8 D. Huseinbašić
27 I. Rondić
19 T. Lemperle
13 M. Uth
26 A. Racioppi
17 L. Paqarada
16 M. Obuz
2 J. Schmied

Coach: G. Struber

Darmstadt

4-2-3-1
1 M. Schuhen G
2 Sergio López D
38 C. Riedel D
20 A. Vukotić D
3 Guille Bueno D
21 M. Papela M
16 A. Müller M
8 L. Marseiler M
9 F. Hornby M
34 K. Corredor M
7 I. Lidberg F
Bench (7)
10 J. Boëtius
5 M. Maglica
19 F. Lakenmacher
13 M. Thiede
30 A. Brunst
14 M. Drešković
11 T. Kempe

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,99
U
3,49
B
3,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Heft · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.