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LaLiga2
Referee: Rubén Ávalos
Cartagena
T T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Burgos
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 25%
13%
37%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
50%
27%
Both score Ø 38%
43%
33%
Average goals
2,4
1,9
Scored
0,6
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
9 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cartagena 22. · Burgos 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elche 31 15 9 7 +16 54
2 Mirandes 30 16 6 8 +16 54
3 Levante 30 14 11 5 +17 53
4 Santander 30 15 8 7 +13 53
5 Huesca 30 14 9 7 +16 51
6 Oviedo 31 14 9 8 +6 51
7 Almeria 30 12 11 7 +10 47
8 Granada 30 12 10 8 +9 46
9 Cordoba 30 12 7 11 -1 43
10 Cadiz 30 10 11 9 +2 41
11 Eibar 31 11 8 12 -2 41
12 La Coruna 30 10 10 10 +4 40
13 Sp Gijon 30 9 13 8 +4 40
14 Castellon 30 11 6 13 -1 39
15 Malaga 30 8 15 7 -1 39
16 Burgos 30 11 6 13 -8 39
17 Albacete 30 9 10 11 -3 37
18 Zaragoza 30 9 9 12 +1 36
19 Eldense 30 9 7 14 -11 34
20 Ferrol 31 4 11 16 -31 23
21 Tenerife 30 5 7 18 -19 22
22 Cartagena 30 4 3 23 -37 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Burgos
Nacho Martínez ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
30′
42′
Álex Sancris 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Borja Sánchez
↦ Dani Ojeda
47′
🟨 Eduardo Espiau
57′
🔁 Iñigo Córdoba
↦ Álex Sancris
58′
🔁 Marcelo Expósito
↦ Rubén Quintanilla
65′
🔁 David González
↦ Edu Espiau
Óscar Clemente 🔁
↦ S. El Jebari
67′
Dani Escriche 🔁
↦ D. Luna
67′
68′
🟨 Grego Sierra
71′
🟨 Fernando Niño
Sergio Guerrero 🟨
72′
Álex Millán 🔁
↦ Sergio Guerrero
75′
José Machín 🔁
↦ R. Núñez
75′
A. Vukčević 🔁
↦ Nacho Martínez
75′
81′
🟨 Marcelo Expósito
84′
🟨 Borja Sánchez
85′
🟨 Borja Sánchez
85′
🟥 Borja Sánchez
Alfredo Ortuño 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 Mario Cantero
↦ Fer Niño
José Machín 🟨
88′
Andrija Vukčević 🟨
95′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cartagena

5-3-2
1 Pablo Cuñat G
38 R. Núñez D
19 Martín Aguirregabiria D
24 N. Šipčić D
22 Kiko Olivas D
20 Nacho Martínez D
32 D. Luna M
5 A. Ndiaye M
6 Sergio Guerrero M
33 S. El Jebari F
9 Alfredo Ortuño F
Bench (12)
11 Óscar Clemente
10 Dani Escriche
14 Álex Millán
16 José Machín
12 A. Vukčević
18 D. Musto
28 Jesús Hernández
29 Checo
30 J. Dick
40 Toni Fuidias
36 Lázaro Rubio
17 Andy Rodríguez

Coach: Guillermo Fernández

Burgos

4-4-2
13 Ander Cantero G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
8 Grego Sierra D
3 F. Miguel D
11 Álex Sancris M
46 Rubén Quintanilla M
5 Miguel Atienza M
7 Dani Ojeda M
9 Fer Niño F
19 Edu Espiau F
Bench (12)
10 Borja Sánchez
21 Iñigo Córdoba
33 Marcelo Expósito
14 David González
28 Mario Cantero
1 Tomeu Nadal
17 F. Mimbacas
24 N. Miličić
6 Raúl Navarro
2 G. Konan
15 G. Barès
20 Pipa

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,22
U
3,08
B ✓
1,97
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,72
U2,5 ✓
1,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rubén Ávalos · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.