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Ligue 2

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Lorient

S S T S T

4–0

Full-time

Bastia

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 47%

62%

31%

Points per game

2,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

50%

31%

Both score Ø 48%

50%

46%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,1

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%

10 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lorient 2. · Bastia 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Metz	27	15	8	4	+26	53
2	Lorient	26	16	4	6	+19	52
3	Paris FC	27	16	4	7	+14	52
4	Dunkerque	27	15	3	9	+7	48
5	Guingamp	27	14	3	10	+11	45
6	Laval	27	12	7	8	+11	43
7	Annecy	27	11	7	9	-4	40
8	Bastia	26	8	13	5	+6	37
9	Grenoble	27	10	7	10	+1	37
10	Pau FC	27	8	10	9	-7	34
11	Ajaccio	27	10	4	13	-8	34
12	Troyes	27	10	3	14	+1	33
13	Amiens	27	10	3	14	-13	33
14	Red Star	27	9	5	13	-13	32
15	Rodez	27	8	7	12	+2	31
16	Clermont	27	6	8	13	-13	26
17	Martigues	27	7	4	16	-23	25
18	Caen	27	5	4	18	-17	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	13	11	1	1	+20	34
2	Metz	14	9	4	1	+21	31
3	Dunkerque	14	10	0	4	+10	30
4	Paris FC	13	9	2	2	+11	29
5	Grenoble	14	7	5	2	+8	26
6	Amiens	14	8	2	4	+2	26
7	Bastia	13	6	7	0	+10	25
8	Guingamp	13	7	2	4	+12	23
9	Annecy	13	7	2	4	+4	23
10	Ajaccio	14	7	2	5	+3	23
11	Pau FC	13	6	4	3	+1	22
12	Laval	13	6	3	4	+6	21
13	Red Star	13	6	2	5	-2	20
14	Troyes	13	5	2	6	+3	17
15	Rodez	13	5	2	6	+1	17
16	Clermont	14	2	7	5	-1	13
17	Caen	14	3	3	8	-6	12
18	Martigues	14	2	2	10	-13	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	14	7	2	5	+3	23
2	Laval	14	6	4	4	+5	22
3	Metz	13	6	4	3	+5	22
4	Guingamp	14	7	1	6	-1	22
5	Lorient	13	5	3	5	-1	18
6	Dunkerque	13	5	3	5	-3	18
7	Annecy	14	4	5	5	-8	17
8	Martigues	13	5	2	6	-10	17
9	Troyes	14	5	1	8	-2	16
10	Rodez	14	3	5	6	+1	14
11	Clermont	13	4	1	8	-12	13
12	Bastia	13	2	6	5	-4	12
13	Pau FC	14	2	6	6	-8	12
14	Red Star	14	3	3	8	-11	12
15	Grenoble	13	3	2	8	-7	11
16	Ajaccio	13	3	2	8	-11	11
17	Caen	13	2	1	10	-11	7
18	Amiens	13	2	1	10	-15	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.