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LaLiga2
Referee: Oliver De La Fuente
Zaragoza
U T T U U
2–4
Full-time
Eldense
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Eldense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 30%
31%
28%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
59%
48%
Both score Ø 55%
62%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

62% Possession 38%
25 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 17. · Eldense 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mirandes 30 16 6 8 +16 54
2 Elche 30 15 8 7 +16 53
3 Santander 30 15 8 7 +13 53
4 Huesca 29 14 9 6 +18 51
5 Levante 29 13 11 5 +14 50
6 Oviedo 30 14 8 8 +6 50
7 Almeria 30 12 11 7 +10 47
8 Granada 29 11 10 8 +6 43
9 Cordoba 30 12 7 11 -1 43
10 La Coruna 30 10 10 10 +4 40
11 Sp Gijon 30 9 13 8 +4 40
12 Eibar 30 11 7 12 -2 40
13 Malaga 29 8 15 6 +1 39
14 Castellon 30 11 6 13 -1 39
15 Cadiz 29 9 11 9 +0 38
16 Albacete 29 9 10 10 -2 37
17 Zaragoza 29 9 9 11 +3 36
18 Burgos 29 10 6 13 -9 36
19 Eldense 29 8 7 14 -13 31
20 Ferrol 29 4 10 15 -28 22
21 Tenerife 29 4 7 18 -21 19
22 Cartagena 29 4 3 22 -34 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Eldense
Mario Soberón ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
10′
1–0 Dani Gómez
12′
32′
Iñigo Piña 1–1
Marc Mateu
34′
Víctor García 1–2
Fran Gámez
Half-time 2–2
2–2 Mario Soberón
Dani Tasende
50′
Kervin Arriaga 🟨
63′
63′
🟨 Diego Collado
64′
🔁 Nacho Quintana
↦ Masca
65′
🔁 S. Gassama
↦ Diego Collado
Alberto Marí 🔁
↦ Mario Soberón
66′
Marcos Luna 🔁
↦ Iván Calero
66′
67′
🟨 Iñigo Sebastián Magana
72′
Víctor García 2–3
74′
🟨 Javi Llabrés
Ager Aketxe 🔁
↦ Adrian Liso
79′
S. Baždar 🔁
↦ Dani Gómez
79′
79′
S. Gassama 2–4
Víctor García
82′
🔁 Álex Bernal
↦ Javi Llabrés
83′
🔁 Nacho Monsalve
↦ Víctor Camarasa
87′
🔁 Raúl Parra
↦ Víctor García
Dani Tasende 🟨
92′
Marcos Luna 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-4-2
25 Joan Femenías G
19 Iván Calero D
16 K. Arriaga D
5 Enrique Clemente D
4 Dani Tasende D
29 Pau Sans M
14 Francho Serrano M
6 K. Bare M
33 Adrian Liso M
9 Dani Gómez F
7 Mario Soberón F
Bench (12)
22 Alberto Marí
2 Marcos Luna
23 Ager Aketxe
11 S. Baždar
21 Toni Moya
13 G. Poussin
20 Adu Ares
34 Lucas Terrer
37 Marcos Cuenca
12 S. Kóša
15 Bernardo Vital
38 Jaime Vallejo

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Eldense

4-4-2
1 Dani Martín G
15 Fran Gámez D
5 Iñigo Piña D
26 M. Barzić D
23 Marc Mateu D
17 Víctor García M
8 Sergio Ortuño M
6 Víctor Camarasa M
10 Javi Llabrés M
16 Masca F
25 Diego Collado F
Bench (12)
9 Nacho Quintana
22 S. Gassama
21 Álex Bernal
14 Nacho Monsalve
2 Raúl Parra
19 Fede Vico
11 Juanto
3 Iván Martos
18 Unai Ropero
36 Álvaro Aceves
4 D. Đumić
7 M. Diouri

Coach: José Luis Oltra

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,92
U
3,24
B ✓
4,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,33
U2,5
1,57
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oliver De La Fuente · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.