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LaLiga2
Referee: Carlos Muñiz
Granada
S U T U T
3–1
Full-time
Sp Gijon
T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 37%
39%
35%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
65%
43%
Both score Ø 68%
65%
70%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
18 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Granada 8. · Sp Gijon 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 24 13 6 5 +12 45
2 Elche 24 12 7 5 +16 43
3 Almeria 23 12 7 4 +14 43
4 Levante 24 11 9 4 +13 42
5 Mirandes 23 12 5 6 +10 41
6 Huesca 24 11 7 6 +14 40
7 Oviedo 23 11 6 6 +5 39
8 Granada 23 9 7 7 +6 34
9 Sp Gijon 23 8 8 7 +4 32
10 Eibar 24 9 5 10 -2 32
11 Malaga 23 6 13 4 +1 31
12 Zaragoza 23 8 6 9 +4 30
13 Cordoba 24 8 6 10 -8 30
14 Castellon 23 8 5 10 -2 29
15 La Coruna 23 7 7 9 +2 28
16 Albacete 23 6 10 7 -3 28
17 Cadiz 23 6 9 8 -3 27
18 Burgos 23 7 6 10 -8 27
19 Eldense 24 6 6 12 -12 24
20 Ferrol 23 3 10 10 -20 19
21 Tenerife 23 3 6 14 -17 15
22 Cartagena 24 4 3 17 -26 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Sp Gijon
25′
🟨 Róber Pier
1–0 L. Boyé
28′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 Nacho Martín
↦ Róber Pier
Reinier 🔁
↦ A. Rebbach
66′
Stoichkov 🔁
↦ S. Weissman
67′
2–0 M. Hongla
Reinier
67′
68′
🔁 Víctor Campuzano
↦ Dani Queipo
80′
ℹ️ Jonathan Dubasin
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Manu Lama 🔁
↦ Pablo Insua
82′
83′
J. Otero 2–1
Gonzalo Villar 🔁
↦ G. Tsitaishvili
86′
87′
🟨 César Gelabert
3–1 Manu Lama
Sergio Ruiz
90′
92′
🔁 P. Mbemba
↦ Lander Olaetxea
92′
🔁 J. Caicedo
↦ J. Otero
92′
🔁 Carlos Dotor
↦ Nacho Méndez
Manu Trigueros 🔁
↦ L. Boyé
94′
Siren Diao 🔁
↦ Reinier
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Granada

4-4-2
1 L. Zidane G
2 Rubén Sánchez D
5 Pablo Insua D
24 Loïc Williams D
3 Miguel Brau D
11 G. Tsitaishvili M
20 Sergio Ruiz M
6 M. Hongla M
21 A. Rebbach M
7 L. Boyé F
9 S. Weissman F
Bench (12)
19 Reinier
10 Stoichkov
16 Manu Lama
8 Gonzalo Villar
23 Manu Trigueros
30 Siren Diao
15 Carlos Neva
12 Ricard Sánchez
18 K. Jóźwiak
25 Diego Mariño
14 Ignasi Miquel
22 Pablo Sáenz

Coach: Fran Escribá

Sp Gijon

4-3-3
1 Rubén Yáñez G
2 Guille Rosas D
4 Róber Pier D
22 Diego Sánchez D
5 Pablo García D
18 César Gelabert M
14 Lander Olaetxea M
10 Nacho Méndez M
17 Jonathan Dubasin F
19 J. Otero F
9 Dani Queipo F
Bench (10)
6 Nacho Martín
11 Víctor Campuzano
28 P. Mbemba
16 J. Caicedo
12 Carlos Dotor
27 Álex Oyón
13 C. Sánchez
29 Y. Kembo
3 Cote
20 Kevin Vázquez

Coach: Rubén Albés

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,19
U
3,10
B
3,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,33
U2,5
1,57
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos Muñiz · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.