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LaLiga2
Referee: Alejandro Quintero
Eibar
U S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Santander
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,8
1,3
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,8
1,3
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

69% Possession 31%
12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 9. · Santander 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 6 4 2 0 +4 14
2 Las Palmas 6 3 3 0 +7 12
3 Granada 6 4 0 2 +3 12
4 Cartagena 6 4 0 2 +2 12
5 Sp Gijon 7 3 2 2 +3 11
6 Burgos 7 2 5 0 +2 11
7 Villarreal B 7 3 2 2 +1 11
8 Levante 7 2 4 1 +4 10
9 Eibar 6 3 1 2 +3 10
10 Huesca 7 3 1 3 +2 10
11 Albacete 6 3 1 2 +1 10
12 Ponferradina 7 3 1 3 -1 10
13 Andorra 6 3 1 2 -1 10
14 Oviedo 7 2 3 2 +0 9
15 Tenerife 7 2 2 3 -1 8
16 Lugo 7 2 2 3 -2 8
17 Zaragoza 7 2 2 3 -2 8
18 Ibiza 7 2 1 4 -5 7
19 Mirandes 7 1 2 4 -5 5
20 Leganes 7 1 1 5 -4 4
21 Santander 6 1 1 4 -4 4
22 Malaga 7 1 1 5 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Santander
1–0 Stoichkov
Álvaro Tejero
19′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Stoichkov
Ager Aketxe
46′
47′
🟨 Arturo Molina Tornero
Javi Muñoz 🔁
↦ Ager Aketxe
58′
58′
🔁 Iñigo Vicente
↦ Arturo Molina
58′
🔁 Marco Camús
↦ Jordi Mboula
59′
Arbilla 3–0
own goal
72′
🟨 Íñigo Sáinz-Maza
Stoichkov 🟨
73′
75′
🔁 Aritz Aldasoro
↦ J. Elitim
75′
🔁 Peque Fernández
↦ Matheus Aiás
Rober Correa 🔁
↦ Álvaro Tejero
79′
Vadillo 🔁
↦ José Corpas
79′
Y. Rahmani 🔁
↦ Stoichkov
79′
80′
🟨 Aritz Aldasoro
87′
🔁 Saúl García
↦ Eneko Satrústegui
Quique González 🔁
↦ Jon Bautista
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 Yoel G
15 Álvaro Tejero D
5 Juan Berrocal D
23 Arbilla D
30 Imanol García de Albéniz D
6 Sergio Álvarez M
8 Matheus Pereira M
17 José Corpas M
10 Ager Aketxe M
19 Stoichkov M
18 Jon Bautista F
Bench (11)
14 Javi Muñoz
4 Rober Correa
21 Vadillo
11 Y. Rahmani
7 Quique González
31 Ángel Troncho
25 L. Zidane
3 Frederico Venâncio
2 Chema Rodríguez
1 Ander Cantero
22 Peru Nolaskoain

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Santander

4-2-3-1
1 Miquel Parera G
2 Álvaro Mantilla D
4 Pol Moreno D
15 Rubén González D
3 Eneko Satrústegui D
6 Íñigo Sainz Maza M
20 J. Elitim M
14 Jordi Mboula M
19 Matheus Aiás M
22 Arturo Molina M
12 S. Gassama F
Bench (11)
10 Iñigo Vicente
11 Marco Camús
21 Aritz Aldasoro
29 Peque Fernández
18 Saúl García
5 Pablo Bobadilla
30 Mario Jorrín
7 Alfon González
13 Jokin Ezkieta
8 Fausto Tienza
16 Germán Sánchez

Coach: Guillermo Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
3,68
B
6,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Quintero · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.