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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel Sesma
Castellon
S T T U S
1–3
Full-time
Cadiz
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,0
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
0,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%
17 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
6 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Castellon 13. · Cadiz 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zaragoza 4 3 1 0 +8 10
2 Huesca 4 3 0 1 +3 9
3 Santander 4 2 2 0 +3 8
4 Levante 4 2 2 0 +2 8
5 Burgos 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Eldense 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Malaga 4 1 3 0 +1 6
8 Albacete 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Mirandes 4 1 3 0 +1 6
10 Eibar 3 1 2 0 +1 5
11 Sp Gijon 4 1 2 1 +1 5
12 Almeria 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Castellon 3 1 1 1 +1 4
14 La Coruna 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Granada 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 Oviedo 4 1 1 2 -3 4
17 Cartagena 4 1 0 3 -3 3
18 Elche 4 1 0 3 -3 3
19 Ferrol 4 0 2 2 -2 2
20 Cordoba 4 0 2 2 -3 2
21 Cadiz 3 0 2 1 -4 2
22 Tenerife 4 0 1 3 -3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U
3,30
B ✓
3,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,81
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel Sesma · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.