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Süper Lig

Referee: T Doman

Bodrumspor

T S T T S

3–1

Full-time

Ad. Demirspor

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bodrumspor Ad. Demirspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,68 xG 1,01

47% Possession 53%

18 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 6

4 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bodrumspor 14. · Ad. Demirspor 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	6	1	0	+15	+3.7	19
2	Samsunspor	7	5	0	2	+5	+4.5	15
3	Fenerbahce	6	4	1	1	+9	+8.3	13
4	Besiktas	5	4	1	0	+7	+4.4	13
5	Buyuksehyr	6	4	1	1	+5	+0.3	13
6	Eyüpspor	7	3	3	1	+4	+1.9	12
7	Goztep	6	2	3	1	+4	-0.7	9
8	Alanyaspor	7	2	3	2	-2	+1.4	9
9	Trabzonspor	6	1	5	0	+1	-1.5	8
10	Konyaspor	7	2	2	3	-2	-0.3	8
11	Sivasspor	7	2	2	3	-2	-5.0	8
12	Antalyaspor	6	2	2	2	-3	-4.4	8
13	Kasimpasa	7	1	4	2	-2	+1.8	7
14	Bodrumspor	6	2	0	4	-4	+0.4	6
15	Gaziantep	6	1	1	4	-4	-1.1	4
16	Rizespor	7	1	1	5	-12	-2.7	4
17	Kayserispor	5	0	3	2	-4	-2.3	3
18	Hatayspor	6	0	2	4	-6	-6.1	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	6	0	1	5	-9	-2.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	+8	+6.5	10
2	Besiktas	3	3	0	0	+5	+4.0	9
3	Goztep	3	2	1	0	+5	-0.7	7
4	Eyüpspor	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.3	7
5	Antalyaspor	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.2	7
6	Buyuksehyr	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.5	6
7	Fenerbahce	3	2	0	1	+2	+5.1	6
8	Alanyaspor	4	1	3	0	+1	+0.8	6
9	Samsunspor	4	2	0	2	+0	+2.3	6
10	Trabzonspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.1	5
11	Sivasspor	4	1	1	2	-1	-2.1	4
12	Bodrumspor	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.2	3
13	Konyaspor	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.0	2
14	Kasimpasa	4	0	2	2	-3	+0.3	2
15	Kayserispor	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
16	Gaziantep	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.5	1
17	Hatayspor	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.4	1
18	Rizespor	4	0	1	3	-7	-0.2	1
19	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	0	3	-7	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+7	-2.7	9
2	Samsunspor	3	3	0	0	+5	+2.2	9
3	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+7	+3.2	7
4	Buyuksehyr	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.2	7
5	Konyaspor	4	2	0	2	-1	-1.2	6
6	Kasimpasa	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.5	5
7	Eyüpspor	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.5	5
8	Besiktas	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.5	4
9	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.9	4
10	Trabzonspor	3	0	3	0	+0	-0.4	3
11	Gaziantep	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.5	3
12	Alanyaspor	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.6	3
13	Bodrumspor	3	1	0	2	-4	+0.2	3
14	Rizespor	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.5	3
15	Goztep	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.0	2
16	Kayserispor	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.6	2
17	Hatayspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.7	1
18	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.1	1
19	Antalyaspor	3	0	1	2	-5	-4.2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.